Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2010-11 season in May, 2011. (includes results through December 5, 2010):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|90210||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.91|
|Hellcats||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.91|
|One Tree Hill||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.92|
|Gossip Girl||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.95|
|Nikita||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.00|
|Smallville (F)||final season||1.11|
With Life Unexpected certain to be cancelled, Smallville in its final season, and the rest of the CW shows all at least likely to be renewed, I let folks do a little venting in a poll last week (in which Supernatural drew a surprising number of negative votes).
But where do we go from here?
Last season, CW kept up the fiction (as networks typically do) that Melrose Place might be renewed well into late spring, so at least we had crazy Melrose Place fans visit these weekly posts and let me know how wrong I was predicting it would be cancelled. We don’t even have that with Life Unexpected this season.
So, I’m going to be digging deep to come up with something to write about in these CW Renew / Cancel posts on a weekly basis. Suggestions are indeed most welcome.
Readers have always enjoyed coming up with haiku’s during Nielsen ratings delays, so I figured we could try that this week for the CW, either the network, or any of its shows. Take your best shot.
We seek young women
Fall and Winter they watch us
Spring, Idol takes them
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2011
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2011
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2011
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2011
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2011
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? While the methods used have changed slightly from past seasons check out how the Renew / Cancel Index would have predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2009-10 broadcast television season.