Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2010-11 season in May, 2011. (includes results through November 21, 2010):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|90210||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.90|
|One Tree Hill||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.92|
|Hellcats||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.92|
|Gossip Girl||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||0.94|
|Nikita||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.02|
|Smallville (F)||final season||1.11|
There always seem to be a series of Supernatural fans with worried comments every time there’s a post about the show’s ratings.
They’ve got nothing to worry about.
Even on Friday, Supernatural’s 18-49 ratings are above the scripted show average for the CW. Compare that to the best rated Friday scripted show on CBS, Blue Bloods, which manages just 59% of the CBS scripted show average. Supernatural fans can rest easy.
With the announcement that Life Unexpected isn’t getting any extra episodes except for the 13 already ordered, it’s all over except for the fan stages of grief. The show is certain to be cancelled after its 13 episodes finish.
As has been typical recently, 90210, One Tree Hill, Gossip Girl, and Hellcats all scored exactly the same 0.9 adults 18-49 rating last week (Nikita aired a repeat). They continue neck and neck towards what appears to be likely renewal for all of them.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2011
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2011
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2011
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2011
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2011
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? While the methods used have changed slightly from past seasons check out how the Renew / Cancel Index would have predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2009-10 broadcast television season.