Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2010-11 season in May, 2011. (includes results from January 3-February 6, 2011):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|The Good Guys (F)||cancelled|
|Human Target (F)||😥 😥||0.46|
|Fringe (F)||😐 😐 😐||0.66|
|Lie To Me||😥 😥||0.71|
|American Dad||😐 😐 😐||0.73|
|Human Target||😥 😥||0.79|
|The Cleveland Show||renewed||1.05|
|Bob’s Burgers||😐 😐 😐||1.13|
Fringe’s third Friday ratings (1.6 ratings for adults 18-49) slid into a range that will have some fans attacking their manicures. At that ratings level, it’s a toss up for renewal. Was it just a one time slip because of Super Bowl’s Greatest Commercials? Fans can only hope.
Based on their ratings history, both Lie To Me and Human Target are more likely to be cancelled than renewed. Any hope for Human Target because of its airing after American Idol is misplaced.
No new episodes of either Bob’s Burgers or American Dad for the previous two weeks.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2011
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2011
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2011
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2011
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2011
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? While the methods used have changed slightly from past seasons check out how the Renew / Cancel Index would have predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2009-10 broadcast television season.