Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2010-11 season in May, 2011. (includes results through October 31, 2010):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Outlaw (F)||Saturday burn off||0.57|
|Undercovers||Last Wed airdate 12/1||0.68|
|Chuck||😐 😐 😐||0.83|
|Community||😐 😐 😐||0.89|
|Parenthood||😐 😐 😐||0.94|
|Law & Order: LA||1.07|
|The Event||😐 😐 😐||1.10|
|Law & Order: SVU||1.17|
|Outsourced||🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂||1.19|
Recent ratings results for Chuck and Parenthood have kept the distance between each show and the cancellation bear relatively steady. While The Event slipped last week, and didn’t air last night, it’s still in about the same situation as before. Their race with the bear is not likely to be decided until after New Years.
Outsourced, Community, Parks & Recreation will be racing against each other in the spring along with the other comedies NBC looks likely to put into an expanded comedy line up. The bear will be ready.
Chase and Undercovers are both certain to be cancelled by the end of this season. Enjoy them while you can.
Outlaw is defacto cancelled and its episodes are being burned off on Saturdays.
This week’s bear seems far too cute to be catching and consuming any failed TV shows, but it wasn’t easy to find a running bear that also looked fierce and hungry.
- 😳 – certain to be cancelled by May, 2011
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2011
- 😐 😐 😐 – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2011
- 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2011
- – certain to be renewed by May, 2011
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? While the methods used have changed slightly from past seasons check out how the Renew / Cancel Index would have predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2009-10 broadcast television season.