NBC stole whatever thunder I might have had from an "on the bubble" analysis by announcing their new schedule earlier than ever before.
I figure I'd better look at the ABC shows up for renewal before they do the same thing! To the best of my knowledge, the ABC shows with an uncertain futures are According to Jim, Boston Legal, Brothers & Sisters, Eli Stone, Here Come the Newlyweds, Just for Laughs, Men in Trees, Miss Guided, Notes from the Underbelly, October Road, Samantha Who?, Oprah's Big Give, Ugly Betty and Women's Murder Club.
The following shows have been cancelled, although there may or may not have been an announcement: Big Shots, Carpoolers, Cashmere Mafia, Men in Trees, and Cavemen. The following shows have been announced as returning in Fall 2008: Samantha Who?, Ugly Betty, Brothers & Sisters, Dirty Sexy Money, Private Practice, Pushing Daisies.
UPDATE: Go here to see the 2008 Fall Schedule for ABC.
On to the analysis:
Selected ABC Shows Ranked by Season to Date Adults 18-49, and Season to Date Viewers
|
STD Adults 18-49 Rank |
Show |
STD Adults 18-49, Live+SD (000) |
STD Viewers Rank |
STD Viewers, Live+SD (000) |
|
8 |
SAMANTHA WHO? (renewed) | 5,730 |
9 |
12,092 |
|
9 |
BROTHERS & Sisters (renewed) | 5,548 |
11 |
10,211 |
|
10 |
OPRAH'S BIG GIVE (cancelled) | 5,437 |
10 |
11,670 |
|
15 |
HERE COME THE NEWLYWEDS | 4,340 |
21 |
7,919 |
|
16 |
BIG SHOTS (cancelled) | 4,206 |
27 |
7,129 |
|
17 |
UGLY BETTY (renewed) | 4,142 |
16 |
8,792 |
|
18 |
Supernanny (renewed) | 3,932 |
26 |
7,269 |
|
19 |
DIRTY SEXY MONEY (renewed) | 3,880 |
25 |
7,425 |
|
21 |
ELI STONE (renewed) | 3,844 |
23 |
7,749 |
|
24 |
BOSTON LEGAL (remewed) | 3,495 |
15 |
9,065 |
|
25 |
CAVEMEN (cancelled) | 3,247 |
30 |
6,405 |
|
28 |
CASHMERE MAFIA (cancelled) | 3,147 |
35 |
5,418 |
|
30 |
WIFE SWAP (renewed) | 3,092 |
32 |
6,053 |
|
31 |
OCTOBER ROAD (cancelled) | 2,821 |
41 |
4,779 |
|
33 |
NOTES FROM THE UNDERBELLY | 2,653 |
40 |
4,833 |
|
34 |
WOMEN'S MURDER CLUB (cancelled) | 2,630 |
18 |
8,401 |
|
36 |
CARPOOLERS (cancelled) | 2,559 |
37 |
5,100 |
|
37 |
ACCORDING TO JIM | 2,307 |
36 |
5,102 |
|
40 |
MEN IN TREES (cancelled) | 2,131 |
34 |
5,742 |
|
43 |
JUST FOR LAUGHS | 1,755 |
43 |
4,600 |
Guaranteed Return
- Brothers & Sisters [edit: announced as already renewed]
- Oprah's Big Give Assuming Ms. Winfrey wants it to return. 5/13 Update: Apparently, she did not! It's cancelled.
Likely Return
- Samantha Who? [edit: announced as already renewed]
- Here Come the Newlyweds
Toss Up
These shows did *worse* than Big Shots (already cancelled) in 18-49 but better than Dirty Sexy Money (already renewed). Confusing? Indeed.
- Ugly Betty [edit: announced as already renewed]
- Supernanny [edit: announced as already renewed]
- Eli Stone Better in viewers than DSM, and just behind DSM in 18-49 adults. Also, has good DVR (Live+7) numbers. Update: Renewed
These two shows have above average viewership for ABC, but well below average 18-49 viewership.
- Boston Legal Anecdotally, said to have great numbers with high income HH's. Update: Renewed
- Women's Murder Club Only 31% of its viewers are in the 18-49 demo. Ouch. Update: Cancelled
Show Me The Money
- According to Jim On ratings numbers alone, it should be gone, but reports are that its syndication prospects will likely save it.
Stick a Fork In Them, They're Done
- Wife Swap [edit: announced as already renewed]
- October Road, Update: Cancelled
- Notes from the Underbelly, Update: Cancelled
- Men In Trees [5/4 update: Producers have been told it has been cancelled]
- Just For Laughs
There's Always A Special Rule For Somebody, Isn't There?
- Miss Guided Nielsen's rule is that if an episode is designated a "special" then it doesn't accumulate its own season to date numbers.
count in the network's weekly or season to date average ratings. Well, every single episode of Miss Guided was designated as a "special", so it doesn'tappear in anyhave its own season to date aggregate numbers. It's almost as if ABC *knew* it wasn't going to do well before it aired and took it just to keep on the good side of director Ashton Kutcher. We've been Punk'd. Update: Cancelled.
Fans, what do you think will happen?
* owing to the vagaries of network show announcements or non announcements, this list may very well be incorrect. Comment with a link if you know better!
Nielsen TV Ratings Data: ©2008 Nielsen Media Research, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Brothers and Sisters is already officially coming back. I believe I heard that a while ago.
I could’ve sworn Samantha was already renewed. I hate forgetting things.
Anyway, the only show I really care about has already been renewed (Pushing Daisies) but of the Toss Ups and Likelys, I’d bet on all of them coming back. I also wouldn’t be too surprised if Wife Swap comes back as well.
The most likely of any of those to be canceled is Eli Stone. Though Women’s Murder Club could be on the chopping block as well if it fails to find viewers on Tuesday.
Brothers and Sisters is already officially coming back. I believe I heard that a while ago.
I could've sworn Samantha was already renewed. I hate forgetting things.
Anyway, the only show I really care about has already been renewed (Pushing Daisies) but of the Toss Ups and Likelys, I'd bet on all of them coming back. I also wouldn't be too surprised if Wife Swap comes back as well.
The most likely of any of those to be canceled is Eli Stone. Though Women's Murder Club could be on the chopping block as well if it fails to find viewers on Tuesday.
I heard According to Jim was already picked up for next season. I remember being really annoyed when I heard that, because if any of the poor rated comedies were to come back, it should have been Carpoolers.
I heard According to Jim was already picked up for next season. I remember being really annoyed when I heard that, because if any of the poor rated comedies were to come back, it should have been Carpoolers.
Finally someone is talking about abc! Ugly Betty and Samantha Who? are surely gonna return and Miss Guided and Eli Stone are good enough for one more season and they will fare better if placed on the right day and right time. Supernanny and Wife Swap will be useful again next year against American Idol, so they’ll keep them as well.
Finally someone is talking about abc! Ugly Betty and Samantha Who? are surely gonna return and Miss Guided and Eli Stone are good enough for one more season and they will fare better if placed on the right day and right time. Supernanny and Wife Swap will be useful again next year against American Idol, so they'll keep them as well.
I’d also heard Samantha Who was already picked up along with Brothers and Sisters.
Here is the list I had from ABC’s early pickups announced on zap2it a couple months ago.
ABC gives early pick ups for next season to nine of it’s shows.
ABC Returning for 2008-2009 season:
Brothers & Sisters
Desparate Housewives
Dirty, Sexy Money
Grey’s Anatomy
LOST
Private Practice
Pushing Daisies
Samantha Who?
Ugly Betty
I'd also heard Samantha Who was already picked up along with Brothers and Sisters.
Here is the list I had from ABC's early pickups announced on zap2it a couple months ago.
ABC gives early pick ups for next season to nine of it's shows.
ABC Returning for 2008-2009 season:
Brothers & Sisters
Desparate Housewives
Dirty, Sexy Money
Grey's Anatomy
LOST
Private Practice
Pushing Daisies
Samantha Who?
Ugly Betty
it would have been cheaper for abc to produce another season of according to jim than cancel it. thats why its getting another horribly unfunny season, though i believe it will be the last.
ugly betty should be a lock to come back, though. the numbers are what they are, but id be very surprised to see it canceled.
it would have been cheaper for abc to produce another season of according to jim than cancel it. thats why its getting another horribly unfunny season, though i believe it will be the last.
ugly betty should be a lock to come back, though. the numbers are what they are, but id be very surprised to see it canceled.
dearme, I don’t think Miss/Guided can improve. It had a very sweet lead in for its premiere, and managed to squander 10 million viewers. I don’t see it coming back.
dearme, I don't think Miss/Guided can improve. It had a very sweet lead in for its premiere, and managed to squander 10 million viewers. I don't see it coming back.
I liked October Road. It was a good show. It had great rating in the begining and then got lost in the shuffle when it came back. I think it had too long of a break.
I liked October Road. It was a good show. It had great rating in the begining and then got lost in the shuffle when it came back. I think it had too long of a break.
10 million is good and it was 10:30
10 million is good and it was 10:30
dearme, it was 10 million out of a lead in of 20. And then it dropped to between 4 and 6 million with little to no competition. There’s no way to spin those numbers as positive.
dearme, it was 10 million out of a lead in of 20. And then it dropped to between 4 and 6 million with little to no competition. There's no way to spin those numbers as positive.