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The Office Likely To Be Seen By 25 Million After Super Bowl

Categories: Broadcast TV,TV Ratings Reference

Written By

January 8th, 2009

The episode of NBC's The Office following the Super Bowl is likely to be seen by 25 million viewers if the recent past viewership of the "Program After The Super Bowl" is any indication. The viewership numbers for the "Program After The Super Bowl" are pretty crazy, hardly the relatively smooth increase shown by the Super Bowl itself, but I feel pretty good about a 25 million viewer guess.

Looking at the viewership of recent post-SB shows has last year's House at 29 million, 2007's Criminal Minds at 26 million, 2006's Grey's Anatomy at 37 million, the Simpsons at 23 million, but those shows were all somewhat more mainstream viewership shows, The Office is not quite the mainstream viewer magnet, so I think something a bit on the low side of those recent numbers is likely. NBC hasn't had the Super Bowl in 11 years, so their recent history is no particular use.

For those who saw my mistaken Chuck post earlier and are shaking their heads, as they say, "It's not you, it's me."

What do you think the viewership of The Office following the Super Bowl will be and why?
[poll id="18"]


Super Bowl Year Network Program After The Game Rating Share Avg. Homes (million) Avg. Viewers (million)
XLII 2008 FOX House 15.7 27 17.719 29.045
XLI 2007 CBS Criminal Minds 15.1 26 16.770 26.314
XL 2006 ABC Grey's Anatomy 21 34 23.106 37.881
XXXIX 2005 FOX Simpsons 13.0 22 14.228 23.074
XXXVIII 2004 CBS Survivor All-Star 17.9 32 19.415 33.535
XXXVII 2003 ABC Alias 10.6 20 11.283 17.362
XXXVI 2002 FOX Malcolm In The Middle 11.5 21 12.117 21.445
XXXV 2001 CBS Survivor II 24.5 39 25.076 45.369
XXXIV 2000 ABC The Practice 15.3 27 15.420 23.847
XXXIII 1999 FOX Family Guy -Preview 12.6 21 12.560 22.005
XXXII 1998 NBC Third Rock from the Sun 19.7 34 19.260 33.662
XXXI 1997 FOX X-Files 17.2 29 16.730 29.098
XXX 1996 NBC Friends 29.6 46 28.400 52.925
XXIX 1995 ABC Extreme Special 14.2 25 13.350 22.594
XXVIII 1994 NBC John Laroquette Show 12.3 22 11.590 17.708
XXVII 1993 NBC Homicide Special 18.0 31 16.760 28.121
XXVI 1992 CBS 60 Minutes 16.8 30 15.470 24.821
XXV 1991 ABC Davis Rules 15.5 25 14.430 26.695
XXIV 1990 CBS Grand Slam 18.6 30 17.130 30.765
XXIII 1989 NBC Sun Nite Movie 20.9 36 18.890
XXII 1988 ABC Wonder Years 17.9 31 15.860 28.976
XXI 1987 CBS Hard Copy Special 19.8 33 17.310
XX 1986 NBC NBC Sunday Night Movie 16.5 25 14.170 39.729
XIX 1985 ABC Macgrouder and Loud 22.8 38 19.360
XVIII 1984 CBS Airwolf Special(s) 21.6 36 18.100 27.874
XVII 1983 NBC A-Team Special 26.3 39 21.910 21.910
XVI 1982 CBS 60 Minutes 26.2 36 21.350
XV 1981 NBC Chips 16.3 26 12.680
XIV 1980 CBS 60 Minutes 33.0 50 25.179 40.746
XIII 1979 NBC Brothers and Sisters 21.0 32 15.650 31.722
XII 1978 CBS All In the Family 30.4 47 22.160 35.472
XI 1977 NBC Disney's "Kit Carson 25.8 37 18.370 42.816
X 1976 CBS Phoenix Open Golf 16.5 31 11.480 22.363
IX 1975 NBC NBC Sunday Night News 16.7 28 11.440 15.924
VIII 1974 CBS Perry Mason** 12.7 20 8.410 15.058
VII 1973 NBC Disney's "The Mystery 28.4 44 18.400
VI 1972 CBS 60 Minutes 20.3 36 12.610
V 1971 NBC Bing CrosbyPro-Am Golf Champshps 19.2 36 11.540
IV 1970 CBS Lassie 21.5 34 12.580
III 1969 NBC G.E. College Bowl 11.7 21 6.670
II 1968 CBS Lassie 26.3 41.2 14.730
I 1967 CBS Lassie 15.6 25.3 8.560
I 1967 NBC Disney's "The Mosby Raiders" Part II 21.7 33.7 11.910

2006-8 numbers are Live+Same Day, all others are Live Viewing.

Nielsen TV Ratings: ©2008 The Nielsen Company. All Rights Reserved.

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For comparison, here are the historical Super Bowl ratings themselves.

(139) Comments - Add Yours!

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  1. I voted 25-30, but that’s definitely the upper limit. The Office won’t be breaking any records, that’s for sure.

  2. Plutonic Dude

    With special guest stars such as Jessica Alba and Jack Black, The Office should easily get 25 million viewers. I don’t think it will get over 35 million though — it’s not a mega hit show like Friends or Grey’s Anatomy. If Third Rock From the Sun was able to get 30+ million viewers, I don’t see why The Office can’t.

    The special 3D episode of Chuck should get 12-13 million viewers. I think a lot of families with young kids will tune in; similar to those Christmas Cartoon Specials.

  3. johnthemon

    I’m thinking it will definitely top 20 million. No way will it get over 35.

  4. It’s gonna beat Alias that’s for sure. It’ll probably beat Malcolm in the Middle and The Simpsons. So I’m thinking round 25 million? I’m hoping for more but I’m trying not to get my hopes to high up. Definately in 20-25, but here’s hoping it’s higher.

    Jack Black & Jessica Alba should help get football fans to stick around.

  5. R.G.

    Ahhh ’86 & 89…Original movies were aired…those were the days!

  6. Daniel

    I think it will be a lot but it doesn’t necessarily mean that 25-35 million people are actually watching it, it is probably just going to be background noise for super bowl parties, and people that have to work early may just turn their TV off but their cable/dish box is still on so it is going to say that they watched it but they actually didn’t.

  7. R.G.

    Oh and this is the first time in 10 years NBC will have the Superbowl…they must be drooling at the mouth…well becoming more like the CW next year…
    (you know leno- 5 nights a week)

  8. Joleen

    Watch Wipeout instead………

  9. Why isn’t Chuck after Super Bowl? They have the 3D episode!

  10. Ricardo, writing as someone who originally (mistakenly) posted this with the story “3-D Chuck after the Super Bowl likely to be seen…”, I agree! What was NBC thinking! ;)

  11. NBC was probably thinking this: we’re not going to promote a show that’s not produced by NBC Universal after the Super Bowl. Chuck is Warner Brothers produced. Although House (which is an NBCU produced show!) aired on FOX last year after the Super Bowl, I think Fox didn’t really have an option, especially with the WGA Strike.

  12. I think it’s more a question of why are they bothering with 3D Chuck than why The Office. While in the long term, airing a new show or trying to promote a lower rated show would be a wise choice, The Office is more likely to get 25 mil+ after the Super Bowl, and NBC wants to cash in on that. I just don’t think Chuck would be able to get what The Office will post-Super Bowl, and I guess NBC agrees with me.

  13. TheoreticalPsychic

    Yeah, I’m not seeing massive numbers for this either and I don’t think it will do anything for Office viewership in the future.

  14. Robert, I disagree. It may be WB produced, but the ad dollars go to NBC. If airing Chuck after the Super Bowl meant that its regular ratings could increase significantly, NBC would be the beneficiary of that. Why wouldn’t NBC want that?

  15. Anthony

    In an archived Programming Insider issue, the 1989 NBC movie after the Super Bowl was actually Part 1 of a mini-series (remember those on TV?) entitled “Brotherhood of the Rose” which drew 31.97 million viewers.

  16. Julia, I’m not a big believer that anything NBC could do — including airing after the Super Bowl would change Chuck’s (or any other show’s) ratings for the long-term. It won’t bump the Office’s ratings over the long haul either, but for that Sunday they could probably sell the ads for it for a bit more than they could Chuck’s. Plus, promoting The Office is somewhat by default promoting The Office on DVD which has done pretty well.

    Unfortunately NBC isn’t working with very much. I don’t think 30 Rock has ever been expanded to an hour where The Office has frequently. None of the Law & Orders work because if they air right after the Super Bowl on all coasts as House did last year, it’s too early for Law & Order: SVU on the west coast. It seems like Office, Chuck, and Biggest Loser were the only options. In terms of maximizing profits, I think they made the right choice.

  17. Anthony

    You sure 24.821 million viewers watched the 1992 60 Minutes special, which featured Bill & Hillary Clinton? According to Marc Berman in 2003 (http://www.mediaweek.com/mw/esearch/article_display.jsp?vnu_content_id=1805239), it attracted 33.96 million.

  18. Anthony, that table was copied directly from the Nielsen data, so no typo potential from me. Other than that I cannot explain the difference.

  19. Anthony, while we honestly aren’t sure, we ARE sure that in the spreadsheet Nielsen provides called “Program after the Super Bowl” the data listed above is what’s in it. Even for the 1992 60 Minutes.

  20. too slow…

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