The episode of NBC's The Office following the Super Bowl is likely to be seen by 25 million viewers if the recent past viewership of the "Program After The Super Bowl" is any indication. The viewership numbers for the "Program After The Super Bowl" are pretty crazy, hardly the relatively smooth increase shown by the Super Bowl itself, but I feel pretty good about a 25 million viewer guess.
Looking at the viewership of recent post-SB shows has last year's House at 29 million, 2007's Criminal Minds at 26 million, 2006's Grey's Anatomy at 37 million, the Simpsons at 23 million, but those shows were all somewhat more mainstream viewership shows, The Office is not quite the mainstream viewer magnet, so I think something a bit on the low side of those recent numbers is likely. NBC hasn't had the Super Bowl in 11 years, so their recent history is no particular use.
For those who saw my mistaken Chuck post earlier and are shaking their heads, as they say, "It's not you, it's me."
What do you think the viewership of The Office following the Super Bowl will be and why?
[poll id="18"]

| Super Bowl | Year | Network | Program After The Game | Rating | Share | Avg. Homes (million) | Avg. Viewers (million) |
| XLII | 2008 | FOX | House | 15.7 | 27 | 17.719 | 29.045 |
| XLI | 2007 | CBS | Criminal Minds | 15.1 | 26 | 16.770 | 26.314 |
| XL | 2006 | ABC | Grey's Anatomy | 21 | 34 | 23.106 | 37.881 |
| XXXIX | 2005 | FOX | Simpsons | 13.0 | 22 | 14.228 | 23.074 |
| XXXVIII | 2004 | CBS | Survivor All-Star | 17.9 | 32 | 19.415 | 33.535 |
| XXXVII | 2003 | ABC | Alias | 10.6 | 20 | 11.283 | 17.362 |
| XXXVI | 2002 | FOX | Malcolm In The Middle | 11.5 | 21 | 12.117 | 21.445 |
| XXXV | 2001 | CBS | Survivor II | 24.5 | 39 | 25.076 | 45.369 |
| XXXIV | 2000 | ABC | The Practice | 15.3 | 27 | 15.420 | 23.847 |
| XXXIII | 1999 | FOX | Family Guy -Preview | 12.6 | 21 | 12.560 | 22.005 |
| XXXII | 1998 | NBC | Third Rock from the Sun | 19.7 | 34 | 19.260 | 33.662 |
| XXXI | 1997 | FOX | X-Files | 17.2 | 29 | 16.730 | 29.098 |
| XXX | 1996 | NBC | Friends | 29.6 | 46 | 28.400 | 52.925 |
| XXIX | 1995 | ABC | Extreme Special | 14.2 | 25 | 13.350 | 22.594 |
| XXVIII | 1994 | NBC | John Laroquette Show | 12.3 | 22 | 11.590 | 17.708 |
| XXVII | 1993 | NBC | Homicide Special | 18.0 | 31 | 16.760 | 28.121 |
| XXVI | 1992 | CBS | 60 Minutes | 16.8 | 30 | 15.470 | 24.821 |
| XXV | 1991 | ABC | Davis Rules | 15.5 | 25 | 14.430 | 26.695 |
| XXIV | 1990 | CBS | Grand Slam | 18.6 | 30 | 17.130 | 30.765 |
| XXIII | 1989 | NBC | Sun Nite Movie | 20.9 | 36 | 18.890 | |
| XXII | 1988 | ABC | Wonder Years | 17.9 | 31 | 15.860 | 28.976 |
| XXI | 1987 | CBS | Hard Copy Special | 19.8 | 33 | 17.310 | |
| XX | 1986 | NBC | NBC Sunday Night Movie | 16.5 | 25 | 14.170 | 39.729 |
| XIX | 1985 | ABC | Macgrouder and Loud | 22.8 | 38 | 19.360 | |
| XVIII | 1984 | CBS | Airwolf Special(s) | 21.6 | 36 | 18.100 | 27.874 |
| XVII | 1983 | NBC | A-Team Special | 26.3 | 39 | 21.910 | 21.910 |
| XVI | 1982 | CBS | 60 Minutes | 26.2 | 36 | 21.350 | |
| XV | 1981 | NBC | Chips | 16.3 | 26 | 12.680 | |
| XIV | 1980 | CBS | 60 Minutes | 33.0 | 50 | 25.179 | 40.746 |
| XIII | 1979 | NBC | Brothers and Sisters | 21.0 | 32 | 15.650 | 31.722 |
| XII | 1978 | CBS | All In the Family | 30.4 | 47 | 22.160 | 35.472 |
| XI | 1977 | NBC | Disney's "Kit Carson | 25.8 | 37 | 18.370 | 42.816 |
| X | 1976 | CBS | Phoenix Open Golf | 16.5 | 31 | 11.480 | 22.363 |
| IX | 1975 | NBC | NBC Sunday Night News | 16.7 | 28 | 11.440 | 15.924 |
| VIII | 1974 | CBS | Perry Mason** | 12.7 | 20 | 8.410 | 15.058 |
| VII | 1973 | NBC | Disney's "The Mystery | 28.4 | 44 | 18.400 | |
| VI | 1972 | CBS | 60 Minutes | 20.3 | 36 | 12.610 | |
| V | 1971 | NBC | Bing CrosbyPro-Am Golf Champshps | 19.2 | 36 | 11.540 | |
| IV | 1970 | CBS | Lassie | 21.5 | 34 | 12.580 | |
| III | 1969 | NBC | G.E. College Bowl | 11.7 | 21 | 6.670 | |
| II | 1968 | CBS | Lassie | 26.3 | 41.2 | 14.730 | |
| I | 1967 | CBS | Lassie | 15.6 | 25.3 | 8.560 | |
| I | 1967 | NBC | Disney's "The Mosby Raiders" Part II | 21.7 | 33.7 | 11.910 |
2006-8 numbers are Live+Same Day, all others are Live Viewing.
Nielsen TV Ratings: ©2008 The Nielsen Company. All Rights Reserved.
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For comparison, here are the historical Super Bowl ratings themselves.






I voted 25-30, but that’s definitely the upper limit. The Office won’t be breaking any records, that’s for sure.
With special guest stars such as Jessica Alba and Jack Black, The Office should easily get 25 million viewers. I don’t think it will get over 35 million though — it’s not a mega hit show like Friends or Grey’s Anatomy. If Third Rock From the Sun was able to get 30+ million viewers, I don’t see why The Office can’t.
The special 3D episode of Chuck should get 12-13 million viewers. I think a lot of families with young kids will tune in; similar to those Christmas Cartoon Specials.
I’m thinking it will definitely top 20 million. No way will it get over 35.
It’s gonna beat Alias that’s for sure. It’ll probably beat Malcolm in the Middle and The Simpsons. So I’m thinking round 25 million? I’m hoping for more but I’m trying not to get my hopes to high up. Definately in 20-25, but here’s hoping it’s higher.
Jack Black & Jessica Alba should help get football fans to stick around.
Ahhh ’86 & 89…Original movies were aired…those were the days!
I think it will be a lot but it doesn’t necessarily mean that 25-35 million people are actually watching it, it is probably just going to be background noise for super bowl parties, and people that have to work early may just turn their TV off but their cable/dish box is still on so it is going to say that they watched it but they actually didn’t.
Oh and this is the first time in 10 years NBC will have the Superbowl…they must be drooling at the mouth…well becoming more like the CW next year…
(you know leno- 5 nights a week)
Watch Wipeout instead………
Why isn’t Chuck after Super Bowl? They have the 3D episode!
Ricardo, writing as someone who originally (mistakenly) posted this with the story “3-D Chuck after the Super Bowl likely to be seen…”, I agree! What was NBC thinking!
NBC was probably thinking this: we’re not going to promote a show that’s not produced by NBC Universal after the Super Bowl. Chuck is Warner Brothers produced. Although House (which is an NBCU produced show!) aired on FOX last year after the Super Bowl, I think Fox didn’t really have an option, especially with the WGA Strike.
I think it’s more a question of why are they bothering with 3D Chuck than why The Office. While in the long term, airing a new show or trying to promote a lower rated show would be a wise choice, The Office is more likely to get 25 mil+ after the Super Bowl, and NBC wants to cash in on that. I just don’t think Chuck would be able to get what The Office will post-Super Bowl, and I guess NBC agrees with me.
Yeah, I’m not seeing massive numbers for this either and I don’t think it will do anything for Office viewership in the future.
Robert, I disagree. It may be WB produced, but the ad dollars go to NBC. If airing Chuck after the Super Bowl meant that its regular ratings could increase significantly, NBC would be the beneficiary of that. Why wouldn’t NBC want that?
In an archived Programming Insider issue, the 1989 NBC movie after the Super Bowl was actually Part 1 of a mini-series (remember those on TV?) entitled “Brotherhood of the Rose” which drew 31.97 million viewers.
Julia, I’m not a big believer that anything NBC could do — including airing after the Super Bowl would change Chuck’s (or any other show’s) ratings for the long-term. It won’t bump the Office’s ratings over the long haul either, but for that Sunday they could probably sell the ads for it for a bit more than they could Chuck’s. Plus, promoting The Office is somewhat by default promoting The Office on DVD which has done pretty well.
Unfortunately NBC isn’t working with very much. I don’t think 30 Rock has ever been expanded to an hour where The Office has frequently. None of the Law & Orders work because if they air right after the Super Bowl on all coasts as House did last year, it’s too early for Law & Order: SVU on the west coast. It seems like Office, Chuck, and Biggest Loser were the only options. In terms of maximizing profits, I think they made the right choice.
You sure 24.821 million viewers watched the 1992 60 Minutes special, which featured Bill & Hillary Clinton? According to Marc Berman in 2003 (http://www.mediaweek.com/mw/esearch/article_display.jsp?vnu_content_id=1805239), it attracted 33.96 million.
Anthony, that table was copied directly from the Nielsen data, so no typo potential from me. Other than that I cannot explain the difference.
Anthony, while we honestly aren’t sure, we ARE sure that in the spreadsheet Nielsen provides called “Program after the Super Bowl” the data listed above is what’s in it. Even for the 1992 60 Minutes.
too slow…