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Dollhouse Fans Hope For A Strong Finish

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Written By

March 3rd, 2009

The Renew or Cancel Index is updated on a weekly basis, if you're reading this after March 10, 2009 click here to see the latest list.

I’m certain that all 13 episodes of Dollhouse will air this season, so the results of the later shows, and their ratings trend, will matter a lot more than the shows that have already aired.

I've broken each network's data for scripted shows out into its own separate post to keep the discussions more on topic, find them at the links below.

CLICK THESE LINKS TO SEE EACH NETWORK'S SCRIPTED SHOWS:

ABC: Ugly Betty Coming Back, On The Bubble No More

CBS: Flashpoint Looks Bad, But CBS Should Be Forgiving

CW: What’s CW To Do With Everybody Hates ChrisThe Game?

Fox: Dollhouse’s Future In The Balance

NBC: Heroes Likely To Work Out The Numbers 
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UNSCRIPTED SHOWS FOR ALL NETWORKS

For unscripted shows, the results from last season were far less cut and dried. A similar relationship did seem to hold between 18-49 averages, but some unscripted shows survived with very low numbers. My conclusion was that some unscripted shows must be so cheap that they are expected to do little more than fill air time and produce little in the way of viewership.

Since we, and you, don't care much about unscripted shows, and the Index isn't all that good in predicting their future, it's not worth splitting it up into 5 separate lists, but here's the data for comparison and reference purposes.


PROGRAM Net  STD 18-49 (LIVE+SD) (000)  Network Avg. STD 18-49 Renew/ Cancel index
IN HARM'S WAY CW  355  1,030 0.34
HOLE IN WALL-SUN 7P FOX  1,501  3,530 0.43
AMERICA'S TOUGHEST JOBS NBC  1,453  3,310 0.44
GAME SHOW IN MY HEAD 830P CBS  1,778  3,860 0.46
HOLE IN WALL-SUN 7:30P FOX  1,694  3,530 0.48
GAME SHOW IN MY HEAD CBS  1,856  3,860 0.48
SMARTER THAN 5TH GRADER FOX  1,763  3,530 0.50
DEAL OR NO DEAL-FRI NBC  1,722  3,310 0.52
WIFE SWAP ABC  1,932  3,590 0.54
48 Hours Mystery CBS  2,100  3,860 0.54
DON'T FORGET THE LYRICS FOX  1,984  3,530 0.56
SAT NIGHT FTBL PRE-GAME ABC  2,029  3,590 0.57
HOWIE DO IT 8:30 NBC  1,932  3,310 0.58
Dateline FRI NBC  1,962  3,310 0.59
Dateline SUN-7PM NBC  1,975  3,310 0.60
OPPORTUNITY KNOCKS ABC  2,175  3,590 0.61
Supernanny ABC  2,197  3,590 0.61
HOWIE DO IT 8P NBC  2,036  3,310 0.62
COPS FOX  2,184  3,530 0.62
HOLE IN WALL THU-8P FOX  2,184  3,530 0.62
MILLION DOLLAR PASSWORD CBS  2,515  3,860 0.65
HOMELAND SECURITY USA ABC  2,372  3,590 0.66
KITCHEN NIGHTMRS-THU 8P FOX  2,362  3,530 0.67
13 - FEAR IS REAL CW  705  1,030 0.68
AMW: AMERICA FIGHTS BACK FOX  2,440  3,530 0.69
MOMMA'S BOYS NBC  2,369  3,310 0.72
COPS 2 FOX  2,540  3,530 0.72
20/20-FRI ABC  2,639  3,590 0.74
HOLE IN WALL THU-8:30P FOX  2,645  3,530 0.75
FOOTBALL NT AMERICA PT 2 NBC  2,512  3,310 0.76
DEAL OR NO DEAL-WED NBC  2,607  3,310 0.79
AMER FUNN HOME VIDEOS ABC  2,868  3,590 0.80
Kitchen Nightmares FOX  2,832  3,530 0.80
Extreme Makeover:HM ED-7P ABC  2,952  3,590 0.82
SUPERSTARS OF DANCE NBC  2,874  3,310 0.87
PRIMETIME:WHAT WOULD U DO ABC  3,148  3,590 0.88
Amazing Race 14 CBS  3,637  3,860 0.94
STYLISTA CW  988  1,030 0.96
SAT NIGHT FOOTBALL ABC  3,572  3,590 0.99
60 Minutes CBS  3,948  3,860 1.02
Amazing Race 13 CBS  4,180  3,860 1.08
FOX NASCAR SPRINT CUP PST FOX  3,832  3,530 1.09
TRUE BEAUTY ABC  3,922  3,590 1.09
FOOTBALL NT AMERICA PT 3 NBC  4,260  3,310 1.29
Extreme Makeover:HM ED-8P ABC  4,624  3,590 1.29
Biggest Loser 6 NBC  4,329  3,310 1.31
FOX NASCAR SPRINT CUP FOX  4,819  3,530 1.37
BACHELOR, THE ABC  4,999  3,590 1.39
SURVIVOR: GABON CBS  5,543  3,860 1.44
SURVIVOR: TOCANTINS CBS  5,655  3,860 1.47
HELL'S KITCHEN FOX  5,215  3,530 1.48
DANCING W/STARS RESULTS ABC  5,369  3,590 1.50
APPRENTICE 8 NBC  5,089  3,310 1.54
Biggest Loser 7 NBC  5,109  3,310 1.54
Dancing with the Stars ABC  5,789  3,590 1.61
OT, THE FOX  5,772  3,530 1.64
SUNDAY NIGHT NFL PRE-KICK NBC  5,578  3,310 1.69
AMERICA'S Top Model-5 CW  2,564  1,030 2.49
NBC Sunday Night Football NBC  8,533  3,310 2.58
American Idol-WEDNESDAY FOX  13,172  3,530 3.73
American Idol-TUESDAY FOX  13,315  3,530 3.77

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Nielsen TV Ratings Data: ©2009 The Nielsen Company. All Rights Reserved. All viewership numbers are Live+SD.

We found that last season, the future of a show was nearly directly related to its adults 18-49 average viewers divided by its networks 18-49 average viewers. Many other factors may matter, but they all seemed to boil down to that one number. Last season, if a show had better than 92% of its network’s average 18-49 viewership (0.92 in our index) it was pretty safe, below that level it was in danger.

 
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