Our friend Brian Stelter at The New York Times has a nice write-up about ABC's . In it, Brian quotes me being a little negative on the numbers given the dropoffs versus a similar point a year ago. had been doing about a 2.8 adults 18-49 when I spoke with Stelter, versus a 4.0 rating for a similar period last year.
ABC appropriately noted that last yeardidn't against . I also agree for what must be relatively low production costs, can continue for some time, and ABC is happy about that. Plus, I have little doubt ABC actually is celebrating last night's preliminary 2.5 adults 18-49 rating for Dating in the Dark.
has suffered more year over year ratings attrition than shows like America's Got Talent and , and I would definitely attribute some of that to going up against , but we should get a better idea of general summer ratings attrition tomorrow when we see the overnight results for the premiere of Hell's Kitchen. The year over year comparisons won't be quite apples-to-apples since last year the Hell's Kitchen's finale was in early July, but it finished strong with a 4.2 adults 18-49 rating, leading the week ending 7/13/08, and edging out Wipeout's 4.0.
While I don't think FOX will be celebrating if Hell's Kitchen bows with a 2.5, with summer ratings being what they are, FOX can certainly celebrate anything over a 3.0. Tonight's two hour premiere faces off against a rerun ofand a new on CBS, America's Got Talent on NBC, and The Superstars, a new Better Off Ted and a Scrubs repeat on ABC. I'm predicting somewhere in the 3.3-3.5 adults 18-49 average for Hell's Kitchen between 8pm-10pm, but...I also predicted Dollhouse would be canceled!