10pm Monday series – axed
10pm Tuesday series – axed
10pm Wednesday series – axed
8-9pm Wednesday series – axed

I still think
Renewed: Flashforward, Modern Family, Cougar Town, Castle
Cancelled: Eastwick, Hank
50/50: The Middle, The Forgotten

Castle – 9.43
The Forgotten – 9.53
Eastwick – 8.53

Castle and The Forgotten both have the Dancing benefits also. I still think Castle will get a full year and The Forgotten may or may not get additional episodes. But remember Eastwick’s lead in will be Modern Family and Cougar Town, who will both probably get low numbers because of their bad lead in. ABC seems to have trouble with Wednesday 10pm series and like how Dirty Sexy MOney got screwed last year, Eastwick will probably get axed too. Most of the episodes will air though.

I expect Eastwick to be the first ABC drama cancelled.
Hank to be the first ABC comedy cancelled.
Mercy to be eventually axed down the line, with all episodes airing.

I think every other Wednesday show is safe.

Have you watched Criminal Minds? It’s one of the best written shows on TV which characters that have die-hard fan bases. What’s even better about it is that unlike CSI or Grey’s fans of one character don’t hate the other characters. The team is cohesive and well-loved. It’s the only show on the air that can boast that. I love every character on that show. They have really done a great job with Rossi as well, making him almost like a Father figure to Hotch at times. Rossi has carved out his niche

As for Easwick and Mercy, both shows didnt do that great, but dont expect either to be axed too soon. NBC is willing to wait with their new series, especially with a smaller schedule, and ABC usually waits til around November or December to decide about their shows fates.

Personally, I found Modern Family to be pretty good but conversely was amazed at how forced and unlikable Cougartown was. My expectations weren’t high, but it still managed to not meet them. It looks like I am in the minority in that opinion though, so congratulations are in order to ABC.

Eastwick’s viewer count is pretty low compare to the series premiere of The Forgotten but it has higher demo.

NBC:
Mercy will probably will cancelled or not but its not going to be a hit. Law & Order’s numbers are pretty low especially it was NBC’s top drama last season.

CBS:
CBS should give the ax to old Christine and gary unmarried. Criminal Minds is strong and CSI: Ny is a stronger show now than CSI: Miami

CW:
The Beautiful Life will be cancelled

FOX ROCKS

“Last at 10 p.m. was NBC’s The Jay Leno Show with 6.43 million viewers and a 2.0/ 5 among adults 18-49. Comparably, this was only about equal to year-ago failed occupant Lipstick Jungle (Viewers; 6.25 million; A18-49: 2.4/ 6 on Sept. 24, 2008). It’s official: NBC has a big problem on its hands!”

How in the world does NBC have a “big problem” on their hands? Wasn’t the EXACT reason for introducing TJLS to get rid of expensive dramas that produced minimal ratings? Based on that, it seems like NBC *SOLVED* their problems — they’re getting much cheaper programming, and the ratings aren’t even that bad.

…ah, well, at least if you and I must die in a cesspool of Philip Vandamm-inspired trash, at least we get to be Cary Grant or Eva Marie Saint for a little while (sigh)…

…the irony, of course, is I want to emulate Cary Grant’s character, who was an advertising executive, who would have worked to corrupt television with the fixiation on demos…

…speaking of demos, there was an 14.5 aggregate demo for the broadcast networks at 9, and an 11.6 at 8 – tough competition for SVU by any measure…

…and the other networks shouldn’t be happy, as fully 85.5 percent of the demo audience did not watch any broadcast network at 9, and fully 88.4 percent did not watch any broadcast network at 8…

…what was the comparable figure – the aggregate demo ratings for broadcast networks ten years ago?

Ah, well, I guess I’m off to the Mutton-o-Matic, which is all I am worth to TV and ad executives these days

cougar town tried a bit too hard as well. but overall the new abc Wednesday shows do show signs of life.

As for Leno, everyone expected it to take a hit this week but, all things considered, it’s still holding up surprisingly well. Now, when the premieres are all out of the way and the ratings start settling, Leno might prove to be even more surprising. I can honestly see Leno challenging Castle & the forgotten in the weeks to come for second place in the time slot. Wednesdays also could still be in play depending on how Eastwick holds up. And there’s always a possibly Leno might make a dent in CBS repeat weeks. It all could prove to be very interesting especially if NBC books A-List stars deliberately on Leno those weeks.

No way to spin anything positive for SVU though. NBC is probably crossing their fingers that its old audience finds it over the next few weeks but I seriously doubt it will ever get back to a 3.5 demo again, sorry.

Hoping Modern Family holds up next week. Good show. And Bye Bye Beautiful Life. You beautiful days are so numbered.

I also laugh every time I see CW numbers lately. Almost every show they’ve got is getting thrashed, which will hopefully signal the end for the network soon. VD is really the only one performing well so far, but we’ll see how Smallville goes tonight.

And Eastwick was not as bad as TV critics said. Its a decent show that has potential. Desperate Housewives meets Charmed set in Stars Hollow But I’m lowering my expectations for its survival though.

As I stated before I don’t think you can plan on building off a show like that. In the case of last night it shows it was a different demo that watched the followup shows obviously. The overall numbers went down but the 18-49 went up significantly.

The same has been true with Better Off Ted, Castle, and that other really bad comedy they put on as well. There seems to be no carry over. I don’t think people who watch Castle watch DWTS.

I didn’t watch Modern Family, but Cougar Town will do fine over the whole year. Just my opinion!

Thanks,

Jeffery

So those huge boosts House, Lie to Me, and Fringe get when they follow AI are just coincidence?

The ABC comedies will drop next week but not because of Dancing. They’ll drop because they were very heavily promoted premieres and at least some of the people who sampled them because of the hype will not come back.

Personally I don’t think you’re going to find that many people who do. So I don’t think the numbers for the ABC comedies was based on the lead in of DWTS. So I expect their numbers next week to be the same or close.

Thanks,

Lizard

It’s odd to get rid of every show featuring more than 2 people of color.

In fact, they discuss her foolishness in USC cinema classes

For those comparing Samantha Who with Modern Family and Cougar Town, these 2 new shows did air after DWTS but DWTS only had 3.2 demo and 15 million viewers. The demo at the 9 o’clock hour increased to 4.3 and remained the same at both half hours which is very good!

Leno did better his first week at 10pm than NBC’s 10pm shows did during their premieres last fall. How exactly did that lower NBC promotional chances?

They don’t need reruns if Leno has new shows 46 weeks a year.

NBC doesn’t get DVD revenue or syndication revenue from shows they don’t produce.

The one thing I do agree on is the unknown potential effect on the Tonight Show. Jury is still out on that.

Those existing shows would have tanked with or without Leno at 10pm. How can it possibly be his fault?

As for the show sucking, I won’t watch it, but I don’t watch Conan, Letterman nor did I watch Leno at 11:30, so what?

As for the dig on our site, whoa there, don’t shoot the messenger.

No reruns
No DVDs
No syndication
Cannibalizing Tonight Show
All returning shows down, most by 30% plus

And not only that, the show actually SUCKS

If it keeps up, I promise you Leno will not stay on 5 nights a week. I actually work in the industry. (I don’t count TV bloggers as ‘the industry)