Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows for the 2010-11 season (results through October 4, 2009):
- Likely To Be Canceled By May, 2010
- Some Danger Of Being Canceled By May, 2010
- Likely to Be Renewed For The 2010-11 Season
| Program | Renew/ Cancel Index |
| The Beautiful Life: TBL | 0.49* |
| Melrose Place | 0.80 |
| 90210 | 0.95 |
| Smallville (F) | 0.95 |
| Gossip Girl | 1.10 |
| One Tree Hill | 1.10 |
| Supernatural (S) | 1.20 |
| Vampire Diaries | 1.65 |
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Now that The Beautiful Life is gone, Melrose Place is the only remaining poor performing scripted show for the CW that the network seems to want to try and save (like Privileged last season). There were lots of "Privileged isn't dead yet!" sorts of headlines in the spring that I warned fans to ignore before it was finally cancelled. Look for the same with Melrose Place this season as the CW PR team does that voodoo that they do so well.
*I have frozen The Beautiful Life's Index at its value the week of cancellation.
This is a breakdown of CW scripted shows and their renewal and cancellation prospects. Here are links to the other networks:
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Notes:
The Renew/Cancel Index is a show's Season To Date adults 18-49 rating divided by its network's Season to Date average 18-49 rating. If a show's season to date 18-49 ratings average equalled its network's 18-49 average, the show would have an Index of 1.00. Without special factors, scripted shows that were more than 10% below their network's average are typically canceled by the end of the broadcast primetime season.
Factors that could cause a show to be renewed with well below average index:
- (F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Friday's have been renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
- (S) - Syndication: Shows nearing syndication (66-88 episodes), often have economic factors that trump ratings leading to renewal.
- (T) - Third Party: Shows that have a portion of their cost underwritten by a 3rd party can be renewed with substantially lower ratings.
Factors that could cause a show to be cancelled with an above average index:
- (p) - Plum timeslot: Shows in plum time slots with average or slightly above average ratings have been cancelled.
What's the History of the Index and How Did It Do In the Past? Check out the results from the 2007-8 season and the 2008-9 season.
Nielsen TV Ratings Data: ©2009 The Nielsen Company. All Rights Reserved. All ratings used are Live+Same Day viewing.
i wonder when they’ll premiere Life Unexpected?
How did Privileged do as compared to what Melrose Place is doing?
i think its around the same maybe slightly better than melrose
i think that this cw slot it cursed!!nothing perform well from cw’s beginning!!!
veronica mars-cancelled
beauty & the geeek-cancelled
reaper-cancelled
privileged-cancelled
melrose place -hope that cw wont cancel it!its very good!!!!!!!
This show is actually pretty good. But Ashlee Simpson is such a bad actor that she is bringing the show down. They need to get rid of her, if they want the show to get better
I haven’t watched a thing on CW since Veronica Mars was canceled.
the CW needs to make a TV adaptation of Blood & Chocolate and pair it up with Vampire Diaries = another hit
The only thing i like about Melrose place was the actress that was in TSCC but it wasnt enought to keep me interested in the show.
George- I don’t think it’s the slot that is cursed. I think the network is cursed. How else can you explain Dawn being the head of the network. SOMEONE made a deal with the devil to put her in power for this long!
I still think that Melrose and Vampire are safe to return. All of the new reality programs will be scrapped, but Melrose will be renewed just because its part of the 90210 remake franchise. Vampire is an actual hit. Smallville may be let go however.
privileged did much better last season than melrose is doing.
and the timeslot isnt cursed as both reaper and beauty and the geek did quite well. reaper was cancelled due to not fitting the target demo and beauty was cancelled becuase its numbers were lower than previous seasons (though still not bad for the cw)
Every show did better. Beauty was cancelled because numbers were lower though they are higher than Melrose. Reaper did good in the demo normally, but it didnt fit The CW so it was axed. Privileged did better than Melrose but ultimately it didnt to well enough for CW to bring it back. CW wants to save Melrose though so im sure they will keep it at tuesdays at 9 for the whole season.
gossip girl is doing worse than smallvile i think
I think The CW should try moving Melrose to Monday before Gossip Girl. The only show that could do well on Tuesdays after 90210 is an established one like One Tree Hill.
last B&G’s season did pretty awful even for the current cw standards!!(sometimes less than 1.70 million viewers)last season reaper fell many times below 2 million viewers and its w18-34 ratings was pretty low!!privileged start better but with the same w18-34rat (and even slightly lower than MP)as of cursed it was more a ”joke”.if i was speak literally i would said that all the network is cursed cause it has ostroff as a boss!!!!!!!
W 18-34 GG 2.88, Vampire 2.73, Top Model 2.52, 90210 2.28, One Tree Hill 2.2, Melrose Place 1.79, Supernatural 1.63
Not sure about Smallville, but the 2nd episode got a 0.7, so, you know, not so good.
The CW needs to replace this with a show about a bunch of rich, pretty, young people who live in a trendy location. The storylines would revolve around the drama in their lives. They could target young women.
Adjusted for final #’s W 18-34 GG 2.93, Vampire 2.73, Top Model 2.52, 90210 2.28, One Tree Hill 2.23, Melrose Place 1.79, Supernatural 1.63
I know why CW is airing Melrose repeats on Wednesday but with things not looking so good for the show already, maybe they should air 90210 repeats instead since that show seems to be slipping into the danger zone. With the show apparently reworked some, maybe they need to try and protect a show that’s trying to keep it’s head above water rather than one that seems to be drowning.
I was a big fan of the original, but the new show is not good, not very entertaining. People always look for excuses as to why a show makes it or doesn’t. I honestly think the reason ratings are falling is because the show isn’t good. People might have turned in for curiosity but stopped watching. I can’t imagine that even Heather Locklear herself will be able to turn things around unless the show’s writing, scripts and acting improve.