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How High Could World Series Ratings Go This Year?

Categories: TV Ratings Reference,TV Sports Ratings & News

Written By

October 26th, 2009

World-Series-2009-MLB

Bedeviled by rain delays (and the Tampa Bay Rays), the 2008 World Series had the lowest average viewership ever (13.6 million). Barring a 4 game sweep plus something else extraordinary, the 2009 World Series featuring the New York Yankees and the Philadelphia Phillies should easily beat those ratings. The last time the Yankees were in the World Series (2003) the average viewership topped 20 million. I think a seven game series this year could test the 20 million level. Anything shorter than seven games and I think that 17 million average looks like a reasonable target.

In this century, for World Series average viewership to break 20 million, it requires the Yankees or the Red Sox. Although in 2000, even the Yankees couldn't pull an all NY matchup above 20 million.

Full World Series Ratings Data, 1968-2008:

Year Net #Telecasts Rating Share Homes Viewers Teams
2008 FOX 5 8.4 14 13,635,000 Tampa Bay Rays/Philadelphia Phillies
2007 FOX 4 10.6 18 11,994,000 17,123,000 Boston Red Sox / Colorado Rockies
2006 FOX 5 10.1 17 11,282,000 15,812,000 St. Louis Cardinals /Detroit Tigers
2005 FOX 4 11.1 19 12,272,000 17,162,000 Chicago White Sox/Houston Astros
2004 FOX 4 15.8 26 17,270,000 25,390,000 Boston Red Sox/St. Louis Cardinals
2003 FOX 6 12.8 22 13,834,000 20,142,000 Florida Marlins / NY Yankees
2002 FOX 7 11.9 20 12,645,000 19,261,000 Anahiem Angels/San Francisco Giants
2001 FOX 7 15.7 26 16,519,000 24,528,000 Arizona Diamnondbacks / NY Yankees
2000 FOX 5 12.4 21 12,657,000 18,081,000 NY Yankees / NY Mets
1999 NBC 4 16.0 26 16,105,000 23,731,000 NY Yankees / Atlanta Braves
1998 FOX 4 14.1 24 14,050,000 20,340,000 NY Yankees / San Diego Padres
1997 NBC 7 16.7 29 16,410,000 24,790,000 Florida Marlins / Cleveland Indians
1996 FOX 6 17.4 29 16,890,000 25,220,000 NY Yankees / Atlanta Braves
1995 ABC 6 19.5 33 18,710,000 28,970,000 Atlanta Braves / Cleveland Indians
1994 Baseball Strike
1993 CBS 6 17.3 30 16,330,000 24,700,000 Toronto Blue Jays / Philadelphia Phillies
1992 CBS 6 20.2 34 18,820,000 30,010,000 Toronto Blue Jays / Atlanta Braves
1991 CBS 7 24.0 39 22,060,000 35,680,000 Minnesota Twins / Atlanta Braves
1990 CBS 4 20.8 36 19,320,000 30,240,000 Cincinnati Reds / Oakland Athletics
1989 ABC 4 16.4 29 15,090,000 24,550,000 Oakland Athletics / San Francisco Giants
1988 NBC 5 23.9 39 21,610,000 34,490,000 Los Angeles Dodgers / Oakland Athletics
1987 ABC 7 24.0 41 21,230,000 35,340,000 Minnesota Twins / St. Louis Cardinals
1986 NBC 7 28.6 46 23,640,000 36,370,000 New York Mets / Boston Red Sox
1985 ABC 7 25.3 39 21,740,000 34,510,000 Kansas City Royals / St. Louis Cardinals
1984 NBC 5 22.9 40 19,270,000 28,010,000 Detroit Tigers / San Diego Padres
1983 ABC 5 23.3 41 19,570,000 29,540,000 Baltimore Orioles / Philadelphia Phillies
1982 NBC 7 27.9 49 23,370,000 38,070,000 St. Louis Cardinals / Milwaukee Brewers
1981 ABC 6 30.0 49 24,480,000 41,370,000 Los Angeles Dodgers / NY Yankees
1980 NBC 6 32.8 56 25,380,000 42,300,000 Philadelphia Phillies / Kansas City Royals
1979 ABC 7 28.5 50 21,730,000 37,960,000 Pittsburgh Pirates / Baltimore Orioles
1978 NBC 6 32.8 56 24,450,000 44,278,950 NY Yankees / Los Angeles Dodgers
1977 ABC 6 29.8 53 21,720,000 37,150,000 NY Yankees / Los Angeles Dodgers
1976 NBC 4 27.5 48 19,580,000 34,720,000 Cincinnati Reds / NY Yankees
1975 NBC 7 28.7 52 19,980,000 35,960,000 Cincinnati Reds / Boston Red Sox
1974 NBC 5 25.6 46 17,540,000 29,080,000 Oakland Athletics / Los Angeles Dodgers
1973 NBC 7 30.7 57 20,320,000 34,750,000 Oakland Athletics / NY Mets
1972 NBC 7 27.5 58 NA NA Oakland Athletics / Cincinnati Reds
1971 NBC 7 24.2 59 NA NA Pittsburgh Pirates / Baltimore Orioles
1970 NBC 5 19.4 53 NA NA Baltimore Orioles / Cincinnati Reds
1969 NBC 5 22.4 58 NA NA NY Mets / Baltimore Orioles
1968 NBC 7 22.8 57 NA NA Detroit Tigers / St. Louis Cardinals

*While there were six telecasts for the 2008 series, there were only five games. The sixth telecast was the completion of game five which was suspended due to rain.

Copyright © 2009 The Nielsen Company. All Rights Reserved.

(72) Comments - Add Yours!

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  1. Nick

    I wonder if new york’s total tv viewing numbers plummet when the Yankees lose to the Phightin’ Phills in 6. You know, because they’ll spend November sweeps crying instead of watching prime time.

  2. I would argue that the Cubs being involved in the World Series would probably be the biggest blockbuster of them all from a ratings perspective (and I say this as a die-hard White Sox fan). Of course, this would entail the Cubs actually making it to the World Series, where the chances are so remote that it would likely coincide with some apocalyptic disaster.

  3. Frank, not only would a Cubs story line pull in all the casual viewers, it would perhaps even pull in some viewers who otherwise would be completely uninterested. But yeah, there are the apocalyptic trade-offs to consider…

  4. Dave

    Two large TV markets (NY and Philly) vs. two evenly matched teams – high ratings.

    Back to 20 million+

  5. AppleStinx

    Ratings should be good even as the Phillies sweep. People like me will watch if only to witness A-Rod choke again.

  6. The_GodfatherSJP

    Dave, not so sure.

    Look at the graph again. The lower rated series are usually ones with two teams from the same region or even city. San Francisco/Oakland in 1989, Mets vs. Yankees in 2000, Angels/Giants in 2002.

    Could just be California sucks there, though. But the Yankees, Red Sox, and The Atlanta Braves, of all things, seem to give the audience a boost.

    As for the Phillies, the town’s wild about them and we’ll watch. And if the rest of America doesn’t want to because Philly’s there, screw ‘em.

  7. Angels/Giants really wasn’t low (though as a Giants fan, it was a low for me!) but it was helped massively by going 7 games.

  8. E

    I think MLB would be lucky to get 16 million for this World Series.
    As a baseball fan, it is an intriguing matchup. The problem is that MLB (and Fox) does a terrible job in promoting the sport. Also, it doesnt help when the series is played in to November, where I’m sure there will be weather issues. I am expecting this series to average between 15-16 million. And, it may hit 18 million for a 7 game series.
    MLB must do a better job marketing the sport to get the ratings back up.

  9. Pat

    Should be pretty high 18-19M. I just wonder if it is going to snow – as this is the latest by far the series has ever started.

  10. Pat, indeed on the weather. Will A-Rod become Mr. November? ;)

  11. romo

    Sundays game rating will be huge as it has Favre vs Packers (going to over 90% of the country) as a leadin.

  12. Dingo

    Sunday’s game will also be aided by the lack of Sunday Night Football on NBC. Next week is NBC’s bye (which is replaced by the season-opening Thursday game).

  13. E

    I guarantee that the Favre v Packers football game will have a higher rating than any of the World Series games (excluding maybe a game 7).

  14. Sean

    If the Series is competitive….next Sunday is going to be a landmark day for Fox.

    1pm — Eagles vs. Giants, two huge markets.
    415 — Favre returns to Green Bay, holy #$&@&
    8pm — Philly/Yankees World Series with a gigantic lead-in.

  15. Sean, I agree the potential is there for a repeat of yesterday’s “perfect storm” where a highly watched game bumps into baseball. The Packers game will certainly *start* highly watched, and if it’s close, look out.

  16. Sunday will be potentially much better because there is no Sunday Night Football game scheduled.

    Perfect storm? Please. Last night was a wimpy category 3!

    Perfect storms don’t have the New York market flipping back and forth between the Giants and the Yankees.

    If Vikings/Packers is close that will be huge, especially since there is no SNF competition.

  17. Perfect Storm analogies now retired. :)

  18. romo

    ….unless it rains.

  19. I don’t think it should be retired, merely reserved for “Aaron Rodgers leads Packers to a dramatic victory over nemesis Favre in overtime, leading directly into the epic World Series game 1 contest between the Phillies and the Yankees which the Yankees won in 11 innings on walk off home run by Derek Jeter”

    Separately it is surprising to me that the scheduling fates are such that well in advance NBC (or perhaps due to the NFL?) winds up pleading “no contest” during the first Sunday night of November Sweeps.

  20. romo

    NBC/NFL never schedules a SNF game vs the world series now.
    That game has now basically become the thursday nite NBC opener game.

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