My predictions last week stunk and I was off by like 60% with adults 18-49. Somebody stole my psychic fortune teller hat and replaced it with a dud!
In its premiere V had a 5.2 rating with adults 18-49 and averaged 14.3 million viewers in the final numbers.
So what do I think will happen tonight? Well, after my poor showing last week, first we'll have a guest prediction chime in via "Travis Yanan's" Twitter account:
My guess range is 4.3-4.7 but that's really based on absolutely nothing more than a semi-standard 15% drop & margin of error
After last week I am tempted to go the reverse direction and declare that fabulous word of mouth will drive the ratings even higher. But, based on all the production hiatuses and changes to showrunners I'm kind of worried that the second episode might be complete crap and that viewers will flee after 10 minutes. But maybe that doesn't happen until the third or fourth episode. Or maybe it doesn't happen at all.
I'll go just a little higher than the top of Travis' range and predict a 4.8 adults 18-49 rating and 12.5 million viewers.
I’ll go for 4.3 and 11 million viewers. But I hope it will do better than my prediction
9mil
3.5 in the demo
If Ben is right my original prediction (actually it was a bit lower in the demo) will have merely been a week off!
12 million and 4.5 is my guess.
I’m going with Robert on this, 4.5 Demo and 11.5 – 12m Viewers
3.8 in the demo. 11m viewers.
This week will see a normal drop off, like Travis said, but I’m guessing, considering the production issues that the bad starts in the second episode, and they will flee next week.
4.5
The word of mouth certainly seems better than other recent remakes, but I still think many people sampling a remake are there for sheer curiosity and almost guaranteed to not be in it for the long haul. Not as bad as Bionic Woman 2007′s week 2, but I’m going with a ~20% drop to low-11m and 4.1 demo.
4.6 Live + SD, 12.5 mil
Remember Heroes did well in its 2nd episode in season 1. So, I think it’s certainly possible with V. But, it could either way. 13.5 million.
I calculate nose dive. I’ll be watching, but I don’t think the pilot met the hype and that was the episode they spent the most on.
Three weeks of downhill and then the discovery that the “Olympic Strategy” was the wrong one.
(I’m not saying the episode content will be going downhill, just the ratings.)
11.7 and a 4.5
On the other hand it could increase just like heroes and Lost did because
of the curiosity factor. Also, the Obama controversy and Fox News’s promotion might actually get some people to turn in.
3.9
It wont break the 10 million mark. By the time the 4th episode airs it will be around 8.5 or 9 million.
12.9 million 4.9
I guess this proves what you said earlier, this is now Vbythenumbers.
I’m guessing a 4.4 and 11-12 million viewers.
Probably a 3.1 with 10 mill.
4.1 I’m predicting a ~20% drop. I think it’s the kind of show that has an interesting pilot and gets boring after that ala FlashForward and The Nine (that bank robbery show from a few years back).