Dude, Trauma is up against lighter competition — i.e., not House.

And it’s old news that it’s already been canceled — as of two weeks ago.

You ignore a lot of things –
1) Thursday night is considered a “battle night”, much more so than Monday. NBC is used to getting great ratings that night, and is ticked that they’ve lost it all to CBS.

2) CBS owns Thursday nights, but Heroes is not just up against that but also Fox has House, the #1 scripted show on Mondays, and one of the top rated scripted shows overall.

3) It’s also got to do with how many other shows NBC has to replace next season, and a bigger question of whether or not NBC decides to contract, take the tax advantages, etc., that Fox and CW have of not being “full time” networks, and reduce their broadcast slots completely (i.e., “Sayonara, Jay!”). That doesn’t directly affect Heroes, but indirectly it effects long-term planning at NBC. I don’t think Heroes is an expensive show.

The TVxTN Cancel index agrees:
Law & Order (F), (P) 0.53
Trauma (P) 0.70
Mercy (P) 0.72
Parks & Recreation (P) 0.75
Community 0.84
Heroes (P) 0.93
Heroes is in the “green” category, of “likely to be renewed”. Obviously that’s speculation, and could also change if the ratings plummet, but it’s recognition that it’s probably got one of the toughest spots on TV — it’s not just up against one popular show, but *three*, when you also take into account that it’s up against Big Bang Theory, House, AND Dancing with the Stars (#7 show last week) — all top 25 shows.

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Oh, and Castle cracked the top 25 for overall viewers last week:
http://tvbythenumbers.com/2009/11/10/tv-ratings-v-premiere-bests-greys-anatomy-nfl-and-mlb-top-weekly-charts/33270#more-33270

So it’s doing even better than you guys think.

It really is going to come down to how their spring shows do, but I can’t imagine that when the dust settles, there will be enough new hits to muscle Castle out. They haven’t had the greatest record of “new hits” recently.

It is going to be extremeley close! It will probably come down to how the new abc shows perform in the spring. I think a 2.4 is cutting it too close, i think if the show started to consistantly hit 2.5 or even 2.6, ABC would give it one more go for a season 3. But a 2.4 is tough, not horrible, but tough. We will have to wait and see.

While it’s technically down a tick in the key demo it hasn’t dropped below a 2.4 for a few weeks now. While it’s probably not where ABC would like it it’s gained within the season and been stable since.

Not bad since DWTS and MNF had to be taken out. Plus it went up against the first part of the CSI crossover.

Gossip Girl and One Tree Hill with 1.3 is good for them, I hope Life UneXpected could pull similar numbers too by January

House at 5.3, just wow!

At these levels I don’t think Heroes returns.

And is the the bottom? I wouldn’t be surprised if it goes lower.

Heroes is just….yikes. Unless they can slash the budget I can’t imagine NBC bringing it back unless it decides to can 3 or 4 other shows instead.