CBS picked up all its news series for full seasons, and NBC gave The Event, Law & Order: Los Angeles and the full season treatment, and also gave Chase and Chuck full season orders and has ordered additional scripts of . The NBC pickups speak more to the shambles its primetime lineup is in, and what we perceive NBC to perceive as a really weak mid-season crop. The pickups of Chase and the scripts for are reminiscent of the low-rated Trauma and Mercy getting picked up last year. Last year NBC at least had the excuse of having to scramble in the wake of The Jay Leno Show being canceled and having five additional hours it needed to schedule.
When it comes to bubble status, like the Renew/Cancel Index we're focusing on the likelihood that a show will be renewed for next season. Certain shows are toss-ups where the renewal decisions could go either way and not be surprising. Chase and , despite the full season pick-up and additional script order are not really bubble shows at this point. The ratings at this point sayit is likely Chase will not be renewed for a second season and that it is certain that won't be renewed for a second season.
Here's the recap of shows whose cancellation status seems likely or certain, including this season's shows that have already been canceled:
|The||ABC||Certain to be Canceled|
|My Generation||ABC||Already Canceled|
|ABC||Likely to be Canceled|
|Medium||CBS||Likely to be Canceled|
|CW||Certain to be Canceled|
|Undercovers||NBC||Likely to be Canceled|
|Chase||NBC||Likely to be Canceled|
|FOX||Certain to be Canceled|
|Lone Star||FOX||Already Canceled|
|FOX||Certain to be Canceled|
Last week's full season pick-ups didn't change the list of bubble contenders at all. In fact, the only change I made was to remove Law & Order: LA from the bubble list, and that was because after a steep one week drop, it bounced back last week.
Having The something's gotta give as CBS always seems to clear 4 to 4.5 hours from its schedule to make way for new shows. Though it's getting much easier for me to think that CBS is relaxing its standards for 10pm in the DVR era, it is still hard to imagine that CBS won't try to launch new shows next year. Will it be the same 4 to 4.5 hours if the current ratings hold up? Time will tell. But the season is still young and some of the shows in the list below will slide down to "likely to be canceled" or worse, and a few might even nudge up to likely to be renewed.on the list below seems to generate the most controversy & discussion, but as Bill notes,
The consensus with Theseems to be that it will get bumped to Fridays next season if the current ratings hold. But at this point I'm not as sure they wouldn't just keep it where it is. It seems to be the case that you can count on at least 0.5 adults 18-49 drop by moving a show to Friday nights and if CBS moves The to Friday nights, to come out ahead on a net basis it would need to replace it with something that would do at least .5 better on Tuesday nights at 10pm - a really difficult thing to achieve with only The on Thursdays at 10pm coming close (and last week it only did .3 better with adults 18-49 than The ).
If the current Friday numbers hold (and it's certainly possible they won't) I could see CBS sticking with its 9pm-11pm lineup, leaving only Fridays at 8pm.
NBC's full season pickup of Bill weighs in, as do plenty of others in the comments. For those wondering why Parks & Recreation is not on the list below, since it hasn't aired yet this season it hasn't generated any ratings data...caused some heart palpitations for fans of and Parks & Recreation even in terms of what happens this season.
Early Bubble Show Contenders:
|No Ordinary Family||ABC|
|The Good Wife||CBS|