ABC: No Ordinary Family’s Leaning Towards A Very Ordinary Cancellation
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2010-11 season in May, 2011. (includes results through November 21, 2010):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|The Whole Truth||cancelled||0.43|
|Better With You||:| :| :|||0.78|
|No Ordinary Family||:cry: :cry:||0.79|
|Brothers & Sisters||:) :) :) :)||0.89|
|Castle||:) :) :) :)||0.90|
|The Middle||:) :) :) :)||0.90|
|Private Practice||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.01|
|Cougar Town||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.05|
|Desperate Housewives||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.34|
|Grey’s Anatomy||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.49|
|Modern Family||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.63|
Two weeks ago, No Ordinary Family scored a 2.2 adults 18-49 rating up 0.2 from the previous week, if that upward trend had continued, the show might have been on its way towards renewal. It didn’t.
Last week, No Ordinary Family fell to just a 1.7 adults 18-49 rating. That’s solidly in the “more likely to be cancelled than renewed” territory.
Better With You slipped back to just a 2.3 rating last week. That’s still in the “toss up” range.
The Whole Truth is currently scheduled to air at least some episodes in December before it trundles off to Cancellville.
- :oops: – certain to be cancelled by May, 2011
- :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2011
- :| :| :| – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2011
- :) :) :) :) – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2011
- :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: – certain to be renewed by May, 2011
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? While the methods used have changed slightly from past seasons check out how the Renew / Cancel Index would have predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2009-10 broadcast television season.