The Oprah Winfrey Network (OWN) launches on Saturday, and it won't matter how miniscule the ratings are, there will be a ton of coverage for the ratings. My guess is the coverage will dwarf anything we've seen with regard to Conan's comeback, and will instead linger throughout the whole year. Don't be too surprised if the trajectory of coverage looks something like this exaggerated version:
- January: Oprah's Ratings XXX% Better than Discovery Health
- April: Oprah's OWN Ratings a Rounding Error Compared to Discovery Channel
- August: Oprah Says She Will Not Do Her Talk Show on New Network
- October: Oprah Insists She Will Absolutely Not Resurrect Talk Show for OWN
- December: Oprah Said to Be Reconsidering Talk Show on OWN
- January 2012: Oprah to Resurrect Talk Show on OWN!
Here's a look at how Discovery Health and a few other networks did in 2010 (12/28/2009-12/26/2010):
|Average Viewers Total Day||148,000||697,000||1,413,000||481,000|
|Average Viewers Primetime||252,000||1,258,000||3,157,000||858,000|
|Average Adults 18-49 Total Day||68,000||375,000||600,000||124,000|
|Average Adults 18-49 Primetime||110,000||673,000||1,245,000||158,000|
|Average Women 18-49 Total Day||49,000||133,000||327,000||89,000|
|Average Women 18-49 Primetime||77,000||244,000||644,000||115,000|
I added Hallmark above because with a big Martha Stewart presence starting earlier in the year, OWN vs. Hallmark comparisons are probably inevitable.