The original post below appeared on 10/28/10, before 's schedule shift from Tues/Wed to Wed/Thurs was announced. will still face Idol on the dates below, but it will be against the competition show, not the results show. I figured we could still revive the poll for a second go round since premieres tonight.
With the announcement that Paula Abdul's CBS's Live To Dance will premiere on January 4th and then move to Wednesdays at 8pm, and by my calculation will overlap on 3 Wednesdays with her former show (Jan 19, 26, Feb 2).
1/4/11 Update: Idol now set to premiere on Jan 19, so only will overlap with LTD on 3 days.
No sane person could imagine Paula pulling better ratings than, but I'd consider it a ratings upset if she did better than what CBS ran against Idol in those timeslots last season.
Week 1 (1/20/10): Old Christine, Gary Unmarried 1.9
Week 2 (1/27/10): Old Christine, Gary Unmarried 1.4 rating (repeats)
Week 3 (2/3/10)commercial special: 2.8 rating
An average of a 2.03 adults 18-49 rating over the 4 weeks.
So, let's call it an upset if Paula averages anything over a 2.0 those 4 dates, under a 2.0 is a beat down, and exactly a 2.0 is a push.
Ratings beat down or upset? You make the call: