Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2010-11 season in May, 2011. (includes results through January 2, 2011):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|One Tree Hill||0.92|
|Smallville (F)||final season||1.10|
's season (and to anyone but the craziest of fans, series) finale was last night.
The CW continues to hibernate in repeats for another week. Except for, the CW won't air a new episode of a scripted show until the week of January 24.
Unless the CW decides to retire another show for non-ratings reasons like producer or cast fatigue, all the rest of their shows (except, of course,) look likely to return.
Instead of removing the table altogether while waiting for new episodes to return, for the CW only, the table above continues "frozen" with the results from the Fall for a few more weeks.
- - certain to be cancelled by May, 2011
- - more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2011
- - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2011
- - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2011
- - certain to be renewed by May, 2011
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 averageby the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? While the methods used have changed slightly from past seasons check out how the Renew / Cancel Index would have predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2009-10 broadcast television season.