Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2010-11 season in May, 2011. (includes results through January 2, 2011):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|One Tree Hill||0.92|
|Smallville (F)||final season||1.10|
The CW awakens this week with a full schedule of new episodes for the first time since early December. Next week we'll have an all new CW Renew/Cancel Index with spring ratings results, plus I will begin tracking women 18-34 ratings for CW shows as well and see if that turns out to be interesting.
As we ended the fall, except for Life Unexpected and Smallville, all the CW shows looked likely to be renewed for next season. Will the spring results change that? Stay tuned.
Life Unexpected's season (and to anyone but the craziest of fans, series) finale was January 18.
Instead of removing the table altogether while waiting for new episodes to return, for the CW only, the table above continues "frozen" with the results from the Fall for another week.
- - certain to be cancelled by May, 2011
- :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2011
- - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2011
- - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2011
- - certain to be renewed by May, 2011
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? While the methods used have changed slightly from past seasons check out how the Renew / Cancel Index would have predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2009-10 broadcast television season.