Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2010-11 season in May, 2011. (includes results from January 3-30, 2011):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|The Whole Truth||cancelled|
|No Ordinary Family||0.67|
|Off The Map||0.80|
|Brothers & Sisters||0.81|
|Better With You||0.89|
Last week I wondereed whether Off The Map could hold onto its 2.1 adults 18-49 rating from its second episode and provide an alternative allowing ABC the schedule flexibility to cancel Brothers & Sisters. That didn't happen, as Off The Map slid to a 1.8 rating in its third episode. It's now on the low end of the "toss up" range and seems unlikely to provide the drama hit ABC continues to search for.
ABC's last chance for a hit drama this season looks to be Body of Proof, premiering in March.
With no new episodes last week for any of the other ABC series in doubt for next season, we'll have to wait for the coming week's results to advance our prognostications.
Detroit 1-8-7 and No Ordinary Family are both certain to be cancelled.
- - certain to be cancelled by May, 2011
- :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2011
- - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2011
- - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2011
- - certain to be renewed by May, 2011
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? While the methods used have changed slightly from past seasons check out how the Renew / Cancel Index would have predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2009-10 broadcast television season.