Bubble Watch: 'Fringe' vs. 'Chuck' in a Super Bubble Sunday Showdown

Categories: 1-Featured,Bubble Watch

Written By

February 6th, 2011

When it comes to bubble status, like the Renew/Cancel Index we're focusing on the likelihood that a show will be renewed for next season (2011-12).  Certain shows are toss-ups where based on the ratings, the renewal decisions could go either way and not be surprising.

Both Fringe and Chuck suffered ratings setbacks this week, but for now both remain on the bubble. If I had my way both shows would stay on the bubble until renewal decisions are made in May, but at this point I think it's more likely that Chuck will accomplish that than Fringe.

If there were a Super Bowl for bubble shows, I'd want to see both Chuck and Fringe in the big game, but for now I have Chuck winning that showdown.   

That's somewhat based on prognosticating about where the ratings will go from here and somewhat based on the differences between NBC and Fox. Even on Fridays, Fringe faces the tougher challenge than Chuck because Fox is in so much better shape than NBC.

Adjustments this week:

Over the last couple of weeks both 'Lie To Me' and now 'Human Target' were upgraded from certain cancellation to likely cancellation.  While cancellation still seems likely for both shows, those decisions will be at least a little more difficult to make now.

  • 'Chase' moved from 'Certain to be Canceled' to 'Already Canceled'
  • 'Human Target' moved from 'Certain to be Canceled' to 'Likely to be Canceled'
  • 'Off The Map' moved from 'On the Bubble' to 'Likely to be Canceled'
  • 'Parenthood' moved from 'On the Bubble' to 'Likely to be Renewed'
  • 'Harry's Law' moved from 'On the Bubble' to 'Likely to be Renewed'
  • 'Bones' moved from 'Likely to be Renewed' to 'Certain to be Renewed'
  • 'NCIS' moved from 'Certain to be Renewed' to 'Already Renewed'

Note: only scripted shows that have aired at least one episode are in the table below.

Show Network Status
The Whole Truth ABC Already Canceled
My Generation ABC Already Canceled
Medium CBS Already Canceled
Life Unexpected CW Already Canceled
Running Wilde Fox Already Canceled
The Good Guys Fox Already Canceled
Lone Star Fox Already Canceled
Chase NBC Already Canceled
Outlaw NBC Already Canceled
Undercovers NBC Already Canceled
Detroit 1-8-7 ABC Certain To Be Canceled
No Ordinary Family ABC Certain To Be Canceled
The Defenders CBS Certain To Be Canceled
The Cape NBC Certain To Be Canceled
V ABC Likely To Be Canceled
Off The Map ABC Likely To Be Canceled
Human Target Fox Likely To Be Canceled
Lie To Me Fox Likely To Be Canceled
The Event NBC Likely To Be Canceled
Perfect Couples NBC Likely To Be Canceled
Brothers & Sisters ABC On The Bubble
Better With You ABC On The Bubble
CSI: NY CBS On The Bubble
CSI: Miami CBS On The Bubble
$#*! My Dad Says CBS On The Bubble
Blue Bloods CBS On The Bubble
The Good Wife CBS On The Bubble
American Dad* Fox On The Bubble
Bob's Burgers Fox On The Bubble
Fringe Fox On The Bubble
Chuck NBC On The Bubble
Community NBC On The Bubble
Law & Order: Los Angeles NBC On The Bubble
Outsourced NBC On The Bubble
Hawaii Five-0 CBS Likely To Be Renewed
Hellcats CW Likely To Be Renewed
90210' CW Likely To Be Renewed
Gossip Girl CW Likely To Be Renewed
Nikita CW Likely To Be Renewed
One Tree Hill CW Likely To Be Renewed
Parenthood NBC Likely To Be Renewed
Harry's Law NBC Likely To Be Renewed
Parks & Recreation NBC Likely To Be Renewed
Desperate Housewives ABC Certain To Be Renewed
The Mentalist CBS Certain To Be Renewed
CSI CBS Certain To Be Renewed
Mike & Molly CBS Certain To Be Renewed
NCIS: Los Angeles CBS Certain To Be Renewed
How I Met Your Mother CBS Certain To Be Renewed
Criminal Minds CBS Certain To Be Renewed
Rules of Engagement CBS Certain To Be Renewed
Supernatural CW Certain To Be Renewed
Vampire Diaries CW Certain To Be Renewed
Bones Fox Certain To Be Renewed
Family Guy Fox Certain To Be Renewed
House Fox Certain To Be Renewed
Law & Order: SVU NBC Certain To Be Renewed
The Office NBC Certain To Be Renewed
Castle ABC Already Renewed
Private Practice ABC Already Renewed
Cougar Town ABC Already Renewed
Grey's Anatomy ABC Already Renewed
The Middle ABC Already Renewed
Modern Family ABC Already Renewed
NCIS CBS Already Renewed
The Big Bang Theory CBS Already Renewed
Two and a Half Men CBS Already Renewed
The Cleveland Show Fox Already Renewed
The Simpsons Fox Already Renewed
Raising Hope Fox Already Renewed
Glee Fox Already Renewed
30 Rock NBC Already Renewed
Smallville CW Final Season

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*Though I've seen no official confirmation as far as renewal for next season for 'American Dad' it will have enough episodes left to air some next season whether it's renewed or not.  At this point nothing would surprise me much, including flipping 'Bobs Burgers' to the Sunday 7:30p timeslot and moving 'American Dad' back in the primary lineup.

 
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