Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2010-11 season in May, 2011. (includes results from January 3-February 20, 2011):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|The Whole Truth||cancelled|
|No Ordinary Family||0.65|
|Off The Map||0.76|
|Brothers & Sisters||0.78|
|Better With You||0.85|
For some time, even though the ratings said Brothers & Sisters was more likely to be cancelled than renewed, I held it as a "toss up" waiting to see how Body of Proof did. I had a hunch that ABC would not cancel B&S along with every single one of their new dramas this season. B&S's continuing low ratings have overwhelmed my hunch, and the ratings say this is likely to be Brothers & Sisters last season.
ABC's new sitcom Mr. Sunshine had dizzying 30% ratings drop in its second week, but unless that continues it still looks good for renewal. Stay tuned.
The news for Better With You isn't improving. It continues to drift lower in the "toss up" range, and at this point I think its best hope for season two is if ABC expands their comedy hours next season, which President Paul Lee has stated he'd like to do.
Detroit 1-8-7 and No Ordinary Family are certain to be cancelled at the end of the season. Both V and Off The Map are more likely to be cancelled than renewed.
I'd expect the apocalypse before I'd expect Desperate Housewives to not be renewed.
ABC's last chance for a hit drama this season looks to be Body of Proof, premiering in March.
- - certain to be cancelled by May, 2011
- :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2011
- - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2011
- - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2011
- - certain to be renewed by May, 2011
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? While the methods used have changed slightly from past seasons check out how the Renew / Cancel Index would have predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2009-10 broadcast television season.