Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2010-11 season in May, 2011. (includes results from January 3-March 6, 2011):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Law & Order: SVU||1.21|
|Parks & Recreation||1.24|
|Law & Order: LA||pending|
Returning to NBC's line up after a long hiatus last night (not yet in the calculations above), The Event ratings tumbled to just a 1.4 adults 18-49 . Apparently, The Event being cancelled is "The Event".
Based on their most recent ratings, Harry's Law has the slightest of advantages over Chuck in their race with the cancellation bear. That doesn't mean they're in an either/or situation, they could both be renewed or cancelled, but it just might boil down to a choice of one or the other.
Law & Order: LA returns to NBC's schedule on April 11. We'll update its prospects then.
is certain to be cancelled. is off NBC's schedule, and its last episode will only be seen online. Only the craziest of fans will fail to acknowledge that being as close to an announcement of cancellation as you'll get.
- - certain to be cancelled by May, 2011
- - more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2011
- - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2011
- - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2011
- - certain to be renewed by May, 2011
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? While the methods used have changed slightly from past seasons check out how the Renew / Cancel Index would have predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2009-10 broadcast television season.