When it comes to bubble status, like the Renew/Cancel Index we're focusing on the likelihood that a show will be renewed for next season (2011-12). Certain shows are toss-ups where based on the ratings, the renewal decisions could go either way and not be surprising.
We see crazy fan whining of bias all the time, and I'm sure this week's bubble watch list will prove no exception. Cue the "you are so biased for Chuck! How can Fringe and V be likely to be canceled while Chuck still gets some sunshine on the bubble? #&!* Chuck!"
It's not bias, it's just Chuck is on NBC. If V was on NBC and pulling the same ratings it gets on ABC, V would not be listed as likely to be canceled. Besides, Chuck fans have no reason to be smug, it hit series lows last week and could certainly slide into "likely to be canceled" territory before the season is over. It could also stay on the bubble the rest of the season and still be canceled. Such is the nature of the bubble!
Notes for the week:
Off the Map and The Event downgraded to "certain to be canceled"
Lie to Me upgraded to "on the bubble" - given its more procedural nature, its proximity to syndication (relative to Human Target, Fringe and The Chicago Code) and that it is produced by Fox, if Fox needs another show around as schedule spackle, Lie to Me is the most likely candidate.
I downgraded Hellcats to "on the bubble" just so the CW wouldn't feel left out.
Harry's Law upgraded to "likely to be renewed"
NBC announced renewals for Community, The Office and Parks & Recreation.
Family Guy, which was previously listed as "certain to be renewed" is, as the comment lawyers routinely pointed out, "already renewed" through the 2011-12 season.
Note: only scripted shows that have aired at least one episode are in the table below.
|My Generation||ABC||Already Canceled|
|The Whole Truth||ABC||Already Canceled|
|Life Unexpected||CW||Already Canceled|
|Lone Star||Fox||Already Canceled|
|Running Wilde||Fox||Already Canceled|
|The Good Guys||Fox||Already Canceled|
|The Cape||NBC||Already Canceled|
|Detroit 1-8-7||ABC||Certain To Be Canceled|
|No Ordinary Family||ABC||Certain To Be Canceled|
|Off The Map||ABC||Certain To Be Canceled|
|The Defenders||CBS||Certain To Be Canceled|
|Traffic Light||Fox||Certain To Be Canceled|
|Perfect Couples||NBC||Certain To Be Canceled|
|The Event||NBC||Certain To Be Canceled|
|Better With You||ABC||Likely To Be Canceled|
|Brothers & Sisters||ABC||Likely To Be Canceled|
|V||ABC||Likely To Be Canceled|
|$#*! My Dad Says||CBS||Likely To Be Canceled|
|Mad Love||CBS||Likely To Be Canceled|
|Bob's Burgers||Fox||Likely To Be Canceled|
|Fringe||Fox||Likely To Be Canceled|
|Human Target||Fox||Likely To Be Canceled|
|The Chicago Code||Fox||Likely To Be Canceled|
|Outsourced||NBC||Likely To Be Canceled|
|Mr. Sunshine||ABC||On The Bubble|
|Blue Bloods||CBS||On The Bubble|
|Criminal Minds: Suspect Behavior||CBS||On The Bubble|
|CSI: Miami||CBS||On The Bubble|
|CSI: NY||CBS||On The Bubble|
|The Good Wife||CBS||On The Bubble|
|Hellcats||CW||On The Bubble|
|Lie To Me||Fox||On The Bubble|
|Chuck||NBC||On The Bubble|
|Law & Order: Los Angeles||NBC||On The Bubble|
|Hawaii Five-0||CBS||Likely To Be Renewed|
|Rules of Engagement||CBS||Likely To Be Renewed|
|90210'||CW||Likely To Be Renewed|
|Gossip Girl||CW||Likely To Be Renewed|
|Nikita||CW||Likely To Be Renewed|
|One Tree Hill||CW||Likely To Be Renewed|
|Harry's Law||NBC||Likely To Be Renewed|
|Parenthood||NBC||Likely To Be Renewed|
|Desperate Housewives||ABC||Certain To Be Renewed|
|Criminal Minds||CBS||Certain To Be Renewed|
|CSI||CBS||Certain To Be Renewed|
|Mike & Molly||CBS||Certain To Be Renewed|
|NCIS: Los Angeles||CBS||Certain To Be Renewed|
|The Mentalist||CBS||Certain To Be Renewed|
|Supernatural||CW||Certain To Be Renewed|
|Vampire Diaries||CW||Certain To Be Renewed|
|Bones||Fox||Certain To Be Renewed|
|House||Fox||Certain To Be Renewed|
|Law & Order: SVU||NBC||Certain To Be Renewed|
|Cougar Town||ABC||Already Renewed|
|Grey's Anatomy||ABC||Already Renewed|
|Modern Family||ABC||Already Renewed|
|Private Practice||ABC||Already Renewed|
|The Middle||ABC||Already Renewed|
|How I Met Your Mother||CBS||Already Renewed|
|The Big Bang Theory||CBS||Already Renewed|
|American Dad||Fox||Already Renewed|
|Family Guy||Fox||Already Renewed|
|Raising Hope||Fox||Already Renewed|
|The Cleveland Show||Fox||Already Renewed|
|The Simpsons||Fox||Already Renewed|
|30 Rock||NBC||Already Renewed|
|Parks & Recreation||NBC||Already Renewed|
|The Office||NBC||Already Renewed|
|Two and a Half Men||CBS||Already Renewed, But...|