Fox: How Low Will ‘Breaking In’ Go?
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2010-11 season in May, 2011. (includes results from January 3 – April 17, 2011):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|The Good Guys (F)||cancelled|
|Lie To Me||:cry: :cry:||0.74|
|The Chicago Code||:cry: :cry:||0.77|
|Human Target||:cry: :cry:||0.85|
|The Cleveland Show||renewed||0.95|
|Breaking In||:| :| :|||1.17|
|Bones||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.30|
|House||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.39|
The return of Christian Slater to series television started well as Breaking In premiered week to a 3.5 adults 18-49 rating, but the second week brought a decline to a 2.6 rating. Howling retentionistas to the contrary, a 2.6 would still get the show renewed, but since I see no evidence that the show has hit a ratings floor, I’ve moved it to a “toss up” until it does. The Slater jinx looks to be tested, once again.
The Chicago Code ratings can’t seem to get off the floor, and remain stuck at its series low 1.8 adults 18-49 rating. That’s unlikely to be enough for renewal.
Whatever fate awaits Lie To Me and Human Target, there will be no more ratings news for them this season.
- :oops: – certain to be cancelled by May, 2011
- :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2011
- :| :| :| – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2011
- :) :) :) :) – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2011
- :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: – certain to be renewed by May, 2011
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? While the methods used have changed slightly from past seasons check out how the Renew / Cancel Index would have predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2009-10 broadcast television season.