FOX: ‘New Girl’ Is A Keeper, But ‘Fringe’ Had To Be In This Headline
Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewFOXShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results through October 2, 2011):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Fringe (F)||:| :| :|||0.42|
|American Dad||:) :) :) :)||0.89|
|The Cleveland Show||:) :) :) :)||0.89|
|Raising Hope||:) :) :) :)||0.93|
|Terra Nova||:) :) :) :)||0.96|
|The Simpsons||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.07|
|Family Guy||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.18|
|Glee||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.20|
|New Girl||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.45|
|Allen Gregory||not premiered|
|Breaking In||not premiered|
|I Hate My Teenage Daughter||not premiered|
Considering Fox’s recent struggles with live action comedy, the ratings success of New Girl has been nothing short of amazing for them. It was the first rookie show given a full season “back 9” order, and it would take a veritable TV Boston Red Sox late season collapse for it not to be renewed in the spring.
Still, shows doing well generate only so much enthusiasm, discussion & traffic for us, while it’s shows like Fringe, which by no stretch of the imagination is “doing well” that demand to be in the headline each week. So sue me for editorial discretion.
There are still lots of new shows yet to premiere for Fox, but no other scripted shows seems in any particular danger early.
- :oops: – certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
- :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
- :| :| :| – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
- :) :) :) :) – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
- :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: – certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.