NBC: Is ‘Harry’s Law’ Next For The Cancellation Bear?
Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewNbcShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results through October 9, 2011):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|The Playboy Club||canceled||0.67|
|Prime Suspect||:| :| :|||0.78|
|Community||:| :| :|||0.82|
|Parks & Recreation||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.01|
|Parenthood||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.04|
|Law & Order: SVU||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.08|
|Up All Night||:) :) :) :)||1.29|
|Whitney||:) :) :) :)||1.32|
|The Office||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.73|
|Grimm (F)||not premiered|
|Chuck (F)||final season|
The cancellation bear has already dined on NBC’s Free Agents, and The Playboy Club. Sadly for Harry’s Law fans, its ratings this season on average are worse than either of them. Although they have been steadily bad, instead of declining like the other two. But it had a terrible lead in its fans will lament! That might cover a square in Fan Excuse Bingo, but it’s not going to save the show.
It’s very unusual for a sophomore show to be pulled off the schedule entirely before all the ordered episodes air, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see it on Friday or Saturday night before too long to burn off its remaining episodes where it can do less harm to the rest of the NBC schedule.
Update/correction: Harry’s Law had an order for 13 episodes this season. NBC has now ordered an additional six scripts for the show for this season.
Community’s ratings, as usual, would get it cancelled on ABC, CBS or Fox, but it will be within a season of syndication at the end of this year, and I’m sure the economics will be bent enough by Sony (the producer) to keep in on the air to get enough episodes for syndication like it did with Fox and ‘Til Death, it will fall no lower than “toss up” this season.
- :oops: – certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
- :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
- :| :| :| – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
- :) :) :) :) – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
- :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: – certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.