NBC: 'Prime Suspect' Is Primed For Cancellation

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

October 18th, 2011

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results through October 16, 2011):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Harry's Law :oops: 0.59
Free Agents canceled 0.67
The Playboy Club canceled 0.67
Prime Suspect :cry: :cry: 0.75
Community :| :| :| 0.83
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.02
Parenthood  :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.04
Law & Order: SVU  :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.07
Up All Night :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.24
Whitney :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.24
The Office  :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.71

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Prime Suspect's ratings didn't begin high, and then wavered in the "maybe good enough for the catastrophe that is NBC primetime" range (Chuck fans know that range well) for a couple weeks, but last week's 1.3 adults 18-49 rating is in the "likely to be canceled even on NBC" range. Fans should enjoy it while they can, since unless the ratings stage a major rebound there's no way it comes back for another season.

Harry's Law ratings need to pick up substantially or it won't see a third season.

Community's ratings, as usual, would get it cancelled on ABC, CBS or Fox, but it will be within a season of syndication at the end of this year, and I'm sure the economics will be twisted enough by Sony (the producer) to keep in on the air to get enough episodes for syndication like it did with Fox and 'Til Death. It will fall no lower than "toss up" this season.

The cancellation bear has already dined on NBC's Free Agents, and The Playboy Club.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
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