FOX: Why Will 'Fringe' Get Renewed? No Theory Is Too Crazy!

Categories: Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

October 25th, 2011

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results through October 23, 2011):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Fringe (F) :| :| :| 0.42
American Dad  renewed 0.93
The Cleveland Show  renewed 0.93
Terra Nova :) :) :) :) 0.93
Raising Hope :) :) :) :) 0.96
House :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.05
The Simpsons  renewed 1.12
Glee  :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.22
Family Guy  renewed 1.24
New Girl :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.47

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Because of the World Series, Fox aired only two new scripted show episodes last week, and so its Renew / Cancel Index above is virtually the same as last week.

Without new data, I figured I'd let folks propose their own theories (the crazier the better) about why, with by far the lowest ratings of any show on Fox (and the only one currently in any real danger), Fringe will be renewed yet again.

My theory? It will be renewed just to give my prediction methods another black mark!

Now, I'm sure our commenters can do better than that.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
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