NBC: Ignore The 'Harry's Law' PR, The Cancellation Bear Does

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

October 25th, 2011

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results through October 23, 2011):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Harry's Law :oops: 0.60
Free Agents canceled 0.67
The Playboy Club canceled 0.68
Prime Suspect :cry: :cry: 0.76
Community :| :| :| 0.83
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.03
Parenthood  :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.04
Law & Order: SVU  :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Up All Night :) :) :) :) 1.21
Whitney :) :) :) :) 1.25
The Office  :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.72

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If you visit many sites in the TV media world, you already know that the PR puffing machine is out in force for Harry's Law. It's got a squinty jillion average viewers! It has an order for extra scripts! NBC ratings are crumbling, it can't cancel it!

Those wishing to be like the cancellation bear should ignore all the PR and pay attention to the numbers that matter.

The smoking ruin that is NBC primetime may indeed serve to keep Harry's Law on the schedule for more than the originally ordered episodes this season, but unless it stages a miraculous ratings (adults 18-49 ratings, not the PR fluff that is average viewership) recovery, there is no chance it comes back next season.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
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