NBC: With ‘Prime Suspect’ Certain To Be Canceled, How “Patient” Will NBC’s Bob Greenblatt Be?
Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewNbcShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results through October 30, 2011):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Chuck (F)||final season||0.50|
|The Playboy Club||canceled||0.67|
|Community||:| :| :|||0.82|
|Parks & Recreation||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.02|
|Parenthood||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.06|
|Grimm (F)||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.06|
|Law & Order: SVU||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.10|
|Whitney||:) :) :) :)||1.22|
|Up All Night||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.23|
|The Office||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.69|
I like to joke that the cancellation bear is patient, in that while his future victims can often be identified well in advance, it may take a while, for various reasons, for a network to act.
Earlier this season, NBC planted a PR puff piece about how new NBC head Bob Greenblatt would be “patient” with ratings losers Free Agents and The Playboy Club. That “patience” lasted less than a week.
In the case of Prime Suspect, which is certain to be canceled, my guess is that the logistics of the broadcast season will require more “patience”. With The Playboy Club hole already plugged by NBC’s only ready replacement (Rock Center), and a repeat of any other NBC drama potentially likely to do even worse than a Prime Suspect original, my guess is that Prime Suspect may well last on the schedule through mid-season before “patience” runs out.
- :oops: – certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
- :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
- :| :| :| – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
- :) :) :) :) – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
- :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: – certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.