ABC: With 'Pan Am' Likely To Be Canceled, Will That End Period Dramas On Broadcast TV?

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

November 8th, 2011

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results through November 6, 2011):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Charlie's Angels canceled 0.49
Body Of Proof :cry: :cry: 0.66
Man Up :cry: :cry: 0.71
Pan Am :cry: :cry: 0.72
Private Practice  :| :| :| 0.83
Castle  :) :) :) :) 0.91
Revenge :) :) :) :) 0.95
Desperate Housewives  final season 1.01
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.02
Last Man Standing :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.06
Happy Endings :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.09
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Grey's Anatomy  :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.24
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.34
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.00

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With NBC's The Playboy Club already canceled, and ABC's Pan Am likely to be canceled, will the broadcast networks be scared away from period dramas? Or were those just two shows nobody wanted to watch, and will the broadcast networks try again?

Not surprisingly, Man Up! ratings didn't stage a miraculous recovery. It's also likely to be canceled along with Pan Am and Body Of Proof.

Private Practice looks likely to play the same cat and mouse game with potential cancellation as did Brothers & Sisters last year. Brothers & Sisters was reportedly almost saved for another final season, but the deal fell through. We'll have to wait and see if a similar "final season" deal will be put together for Private Practice.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
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