NBC: 'Community's' Woeful Ratings Would Get It Canceled Elsewhere, But Not On N-B-C!

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

November 8th, 2011

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results through November 6, 2011):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Chuck (F) final season 0.48
Harry's Law :oops: 0.61
Free Agents canceled 0.66
The Playboy Club canceled 0.67
Prime Suspect :oops: 0.71
Community :| :| :| 0.83
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.99
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.04
Parenthood  :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Law & Order: SVU  :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.11
Up All Night :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.20
Whitney :) :) :) :) 1.21
The Office  :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.70

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Fans need to remember that each show's ratings, and thus its cancellation and renewal prospects are measured only against the other shows on the same network. Comparisons to shows on other networks are meaningless press release fodder when it comes to renewal or cancellation. Another way to think about it is that each network has its own cancellation bear.

On ABC, CBS or FOX, the woefully rated Community would have been canceled, probably long ago. But on the primetime trainwreck that is NBC it's on its third season. The network, plus the fact that after four season's worth of episodes it can be sold into syndication (and co-producer Sony has shown it will slash the fees to achieve that for a sitcom), means that even with cringe worthy ratings, Community is no worse than a "toss up", and is probably a bit better than that.

Sometimes it's good to be on a loser!

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
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