CBS: ‘Unforgettable’ Back To A “Toss Up” For Cancellation Or Renewal
Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewCBSShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results feom January 2-8, 2012):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|A Gifted Man (F)||😳||0.49|
|Blue Bloods (F)||0.58|
|How To Be A Gentleman||canceled||0.74*|
|The Good Wife||0.88|
|NCIS: Los Angeles||1.13|
|Mike & Molly||1.23|
|How I Met Your Mother||renewed||1.26|
|2 Broke Girls||1.43|
|Two And A Half Men||1.46|
|Person Of Interest||?|
|Rules of Engagement||?|
|Big Bang Theory||renewed|
Unforgettable’s fate will continue to be the hardest to predict of the CBS rookie dramas. Its first 2012 ratings have it back into the “toss up” range for renewal or cancellation, but that’s still quite a fluid situation.
The question of which aging dramas will also be canceled will remain difficult to predict as well, but because their syndication economics likely drive their fates, more ratings from them will not necessarily make the picture much clearer.
At least for a week, The Good Wife is likely to be renewed. Thank Tim Tebow!
As for the fans of A Gifted Man who still (foolishly) hold out hope, answer me this question, which three other dramas will CBS cancel if they’re going to keep AGM? And don’t make us laugh with the idea that CBS won’t introduce any new dramas next Fall, or they’ll time share, or, or, or…
Unlike several networks, since CBS aired a reasonably full schedule of new episodes last week, its Renew / Cancel Index is effectively complete and I feel good about making predictions on all the shows that aired.
? – Those show’s fates are not really unknown, but for consistency I have not put any predictions up for shows that have not aired new episodes since 1/1/12.
The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did CBS’ shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
- :oops: – certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
- 😥 :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
- 😐😐 :| – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
- :) – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
- :mrgreen: – certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.