CBS: ‘Rob’ Started Strong, But Is Schneider Another Shatner?
Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewCBSShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results feom January 2-15, 2012):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|How To Be A Gentleman||canceled||0.74*|
|A Gifted Man (F)||:oops:||0.47|
|CSI:NY (F)||:cry: :cry:||0.59|
|Blue Bloods (F)||:) :) :) :)||0.60|
|The Good Wife||:| :| :|||0.79|
|CSI: Miami||:| :| :|||0.87|
|The Mentalist||:) :) :) :)||0.90|
|Hawaii Five-0||:) :) :) :)||0.97|
|Person Of Interest||:) :) :) :)||1.07|
|NCIS: Los Angeles||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.14|
|Mike & Molly||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.27|
|How I Met Your Mother||renewed||1.31|
|NCIS||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.37|
|Rob||:) :) :) :)||1.37|
|2 Broke Girls||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.47|
|Two And A Half Men||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.51|
|Big Bang Theory||renewed||1.77|
|CSI||:| :| :| **|
|Rules of Engagement||:| :| :| **|
|Criminal Minds||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: **|
CBS’ Rob started well, with a 4.1 adults 18-49 rating. If the show can maintain anything close to that in the long term, it’s a lock for renewal for a second season.
Those thinking it’s a lock already should take a moment to recall $#*! My Dad Says. It premiered to a 4.0 adults 18-49 rating in the Fall of 2010, and was canceled in the Spring of 2011 with no second season.
Will that happen to Rob? We’ll have to wait and see.
So much for Unforgettable moving to a “toss up” for renewal or cancellation. After a relatively strong first outing in 2012, it deflated to just a 2.1 adults 18-49 rating last week and now is back to “more likely to be canceled than renewed”. Why is that different from The Good Wife? I still figure that after enduring 3 years of terrible ratings from The Good Wife, CBS will bite the bullet and order a fourth season so it will have enough episodes for syndication.
The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did CBS’ shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule, and are grouped at the top of the table.
** shows that have not yet aired new episodes in 2012 have their Fall 2011 predictions listed instead.
- :oops: – certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
- :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
- :| :| :| – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
- :) :) :) :) – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
- :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: – certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.