NBC: 'Whitney' & 'Are You There, Chelsea?' Fall To Toss Ups For Cancellation Or Renewal

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

January 31st, 2012

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2-29, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Prime Suspect* canceled 0.47
Free Agents * canceled 0.66
The Playboy Club * canceled 0.67
The Firm :oops: 0.68
Chuck (F)* final season complete 0.69
Harry's Law :oops: 0.73
Community * :) :) :) :) ** 0.87
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.02
Whitney :| :| :| 1.06
Parenthood :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
30 Rock :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Are You There, Chelsea? :| :| :| 1.15
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.21
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.21
Up All Night :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.24
The Office :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.88

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Commenter howling over my early predictions in 2012 for Are You There, Chelsea? and Whitney could be counted on for its consistency, but the comments had to be based on prediction of the shows' future ratings, something I do not do for my predictions (although to some extent Robert's Bubble Watch does).

After last week's continuing decline, down to a 1.4 adults 18-49 ratings for both shows, a bit more of the future is revealed and those ratings, even given the woeful state of NBC's primetime, make both shows no better than a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation come May. Of course, future changes in their relative ratings can cause future prediction adjustments, howl in advance if you'd like!

The cancellation bear can play the bubble game too!

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did NBC's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** shows that have not yet aired new episodes in 2012 have their Fall 2011 predictions listed instead.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
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