CBS: 'Unforgettable' vs. 'The Good Wife', Same Woeful Ratings, Different Prospects

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

February 14th, 2012

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- February 12, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
A Gifted Man (F) :oops: 0.42
CSI:NY (F) :cry: :cry: 0.53
Blue Bloods (F) :) :) :) :) 0.56
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.72
Unforgettable :cry: :cry: 0.72
How To Be A Gentleman * canceled 0.74
CSI: Miami :| :| :| 0.77
Hawaii Five-0 :) :) :) :) 0.88
The Mentalist :) :) :) :) 0.91
CSI :) :) :) :) 0.91
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.02
Rules of Engagement :| :| :| ** 1.02
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.04
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.07
Rob :) :) :) :) 1.11
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.15
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.29
NCIS :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.30
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.39
Two and a Half Men :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.40
Big Bang Theory renewed 1.71

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Since January 1, both Unforgettable and The Good Wife have averaged identically woeful ratings for new episodes (2.30 adults 18-49 ratings), yet I am predicting Unforgettable is likely to be canceled, and The Good Wife is a "toss up" for cancellation or renewal (and honestly, I'd be a bit surprised if it were canceled).

Unfair? Hardly.

CBS has suffered through three years of relatively woeful ratings for The Good Wife (season two's relative ratings at this point were nearly identical, season one's were higher), and it needs one more season for the 88 episodes which is the seeming lower limit for syndication these days. A fourth season is at least as likely as not.

However, the Unforgettable ratings suffering has just begun, and without awards! I don't imagine that CBS has the stomach for three more seasons of it, even shoved off to Friday (or as the crazy and desperate will suggest, Saturday).

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did CBS' shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** shows that have not yet aired new episodes in 2012 have their Fall 2011 predictions listed instead.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
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