The Renew/Cancel Index is on vacation this week, so I'm doing special "by network" versions of Bubble Watch (regular versions of Bubble Watch contain all scripted shows that have aired for all networks and are posted on Sundays). Fear not, the regular Tuesday Renew/Cancel Index will be back next week!
While like the Renew/Cancel Index, Bubble Watch is mostly derived based on relative adults 18-49 ratings, the big difference is that the R/C Index doesn't "guess" about what is to come and ranks shows based on what would happen if the season ended now. Not guessing about the future is a good policy. Despite that, Bubble Watch makes guesses anyway.
Here, “canceled” is used interchangeably with “won’t be renewed for next season” and is not meant to imply a show will be yanked off the schedule in the current season though obviously the two outcomes are not mutually exclusive. The semantics police and lawyers should feel free to break out the handcuffs and lawsuits and plead their cases in the comments.
Smash is falling hard and fast, with the third episode down 40% from the premiere two weeks ago based on preliminary ratings. Some critics and anti-fans are calling it a colossal failure for NBC (due to how heavily NBC promoted it), but make no mistake it could fall a ways further and still be renewed. It's still too soon to know if and where Smash will stabilize, but for now it's still on the bubble.
Note: only scripted shows that have aired at least one episode this season are in the table below.
|The Playboy Club||NBC||Canceled|
|Harry's Law||NBC||Certain Cancellation|
|Are You There, Chelsea?||NBC||Likely Cancellation|
|Community||NBC||On The Bubble|
|Smash||NBC||On The Bubble|
|Whitney||NBC||On The Bubble|
|30 Rock||NBC||Likely Renewal|
|Parks & Recreation||NBC||Likely Renewal|
|Up All Night||NBC||Likely Renewal|
|Law & Order: SVU||NBC||Certain Renewal|
|The Office||NBC||Certain Renewal|