Bubble Watch NBC: 'Smash' Falls Far Fast, But Isn't Dead Yet

Categories: Bubble Watch,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

February 21st, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is on vacation this week, so I'm doing special "by network" versions of Bubble Watch (regular versions of Bubble Watch contain all scripted shows that have aired for all networks and are posted on Sundays). Fear not, the regular Tuesday Renew/Cancel Index will be back next week!

While like the Renew/Cancel Index, Bubble Watch is mostly derived based on relative adults 18-49 ratings, the big difference is that the R/C Index doesn't "guess" about what is to come and ranks shows based on what would happen if the season ended now. Not guessing about the future is a good policy.  Despite that, Bubble Watch makes guesses anyway.

Here, “canceled” is used interchangeably with “won’t be renewed for next season” and is not meant to imply a show will be yanked off the schedule in the current season though obviously the two outcomes are not mutually exclusive. The semantics police and lawyers should feel free to break out the handcuffs and lawsuits and  plead their cases in the comments. 

Smash is falling hard and fast, with the third episode down 40% from the premiere two weeks ago based on preliminary ratings. Some critics and anti-fans are calling  it a colossal failure for NBC (due to how heavily NBC promoted it), but make no mistake it could fall a ways further and still be renewed.  It's still too soon to know if and where Smash will stabilize, but for now it's still on the bubble.

Note: only scripted shows that have aired at least one episode this season are in the table below.

Show Network Status
The Firm NBC Canceled
Free Agents NBC Canceled
Prime Suspect NBC Canceled
The Playboy Club NBC Canceled
Harry's Law NBC Certain Cancellation
Are You There, Chelsea? NBC Likely Cancellation
Community NBC On The Bubble
Smash NBC On The Bubble
Whitney NBC On The Bubble
30 Rock NBC Likely Renewal
Parenthood NBC Likely Renewal
Parks & Recreation NBC Likely Renewal
Up All Night NBC Likely Renewal
Grimm NBC Certain Renewal
Law & Order: SVU NBC Certain Renewal
The Office NBC Certain Renewal
Chuck NBC Final Season
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