Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:
- CBS: No Matter What The Bear Predicts For 'The Good Wife,' Its Crazy Fans Will Claim He Predicted It Would Be Canceled
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- February 26, 2012):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|: Los Angeles||1.01|
This week I've moved the CBS sitcom Rob to a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation. In recent weeks its ratings have almost exactly matched the CBS scripted show average. On any other network (and even on CBS for a drama) that would be a recipe for renewal, but since CBS will certainly introduce new sitcoms next Fall, unless they expand their sitcom time (or perform other schedule juggling), they'll cancel their lowest rated sitcom to make room for more.
By comparison, last season's $#*!averaged about 90% of the CBS scripted show ratings average at the end of its run (which ended in week 23, which was the week ending 2/26/12 this season), before being canceled. While Rob is doing relatively better than SMDS was, is it doing relatively better enough to be renewed? Not likely if CBS doesn't expand their sitcom time. But if they do, I can see Rob getting renewed.
One other change to the table this week, I've moved:NY up from "likely canceled" to "toss up". Any differences in the fates of CSI:NY, CSI: Miami and The are likely due to syndication economics which are hidden to me, and no result among those three shows would surprise me at this point.
The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did CBS' shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.
** shows that have not yet aired new episodes in 2012 have their Fall 2011 predictions listed instead.
- - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
- - more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
- - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
- - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
- - certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.