FOX: 'Alcatraz' & 'The Finder' Fans, "Yes, They Can Cancel All Their Rookie Dramas"

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

March 6th, 2012

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- March 4, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Fringe (F) :| :| :| 0.47
The Cleveland Show renewed 0.61
Allen Gregory * canceled 0.72
Raising Hope :| :| :| 0.87
American Dad renewed 0.88
The Finder :cry: :cry: 0.91
Terra Nova * canceled 0.90
Bones :) :) :) :) 0.98
Alcatraz :cry: :cry: 1.03
House final season 1.09
Napoleon Dynamite :| :| :| 1.06
The Simpsons renewed 1.17
Family Guy renewed 1.28
Glee :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.30
New Girl :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.35
Touch :) :) :) :) 1.60

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As Alcatraz and The Finder fans scramble for hope in the wake of the announcement that Terra Nova was canceled, we often see comments from desperate fans like "Well, they can't cancel all their rookie dramas".

Leaving aside the fact that Touch had nice preview ratings, and its future is yet to be determined, the "can't cancel them all" grasp is futile. Ask the fans of the two Fox rookie dramas last season (Lone Star, The Chicago Code).

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did FOX's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** shows that have not yet aired new episodes in 2012 have their Fall 2011 predictions listed instead.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
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