ABC: Only Syndication Can Save ‘Cougar Town’ From Being Canceled Now
Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information: [rssinpage rssfeed=’http://feeds.feedburner.com/TvbythenumbersCancel/renewABCShows’ rssitems=’1′ rssformat=’Y’]
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- March 11, 2012):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Charlie’s Angels *||canceled||0.48|
|Body Of Proof||:oops:||0.57|
|Work It! *||canceled||0.61|
|Cougar Town||:| :| :|||0.64|
|Man Up *||canceled||0.66|
|The River||:cry: :cry:||0.69|
|Castle||:) :) :) :)||0.82|
|GCB||:) :) :) :)||0.88|
|Last Man Standing||:) :) :) :)||0.90|
|Private Practice||:) :) :) :)||0.91|
|Revenge||:) :) :) :)||0.95|
|Desperate Housewives||final season||0.97|
|Suburgatory||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.00|
|The Middle||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.01|
|Happy Endings||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.05|
|Once Upon A Time||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.27|
|Grey’s Anatomy||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.43|
|Modern Family||:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:||1.99|
Desperate Cougar Town fans may wish to begin sending useless junk to ABC to make themselves feel better (but it won’t help the show), since the show’s continuing ratings declines say “likely canceled”. However, since it’s in its third season (albeit a shortened one), and that gives it a chance for a throwaway fourth season to generate episodes for syndication (which still wouldn’t quite get it to 88 episodes), my new rule is to never put such shows below a “toss up”, so there it will stay.
On the plus side, GCB bucked the typical trend and posted a ratings increase in its second episode. For the time being, that makes it more likely to be renewed than canceled, but with only two episodes aired that prediction can change quickly. Stay tuned.
The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did ABC’s shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index “frozen” at the point they left the schedule.
- :oops: – certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
- :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
- :| :| :| – toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
- :) :) :) :) – more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
- :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: – certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show’s new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It’s calculated by dividing a show’s new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show’s own network. The network’s average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season’s Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.