CW: 'Nikita' Or 'Hart Of Dixie' Will Be Canceled, Maybe Both

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew CW Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

March 27th, 2012

Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- March 25, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Ringer :cry: :cry: 0.67
Nikita (F) :| :| :| 0.70
Hart Of Dixie :| :| :| 0.80
Gossip Girl :) :) :) :) 0.80
90210 :) :) :) :) 0.95
The Secret Circle :) :) :) :) 1.04
Supernatural (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.05
One Tree Hill final season 1.06
Vampire Diaries :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.80

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The CW will certainly cancel one more scripted show (after Ringer, it's a goner), and possibly two. They'll choose either Nikita or Hart Of Dixieor both.

I don't expect them to cancel more scripted shows (since One Tree Hill is also ending), but if they did, it wouldn't be the biggest cancellation or renewal surprise we're likely to get this season.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did the CW's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
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