ABC: 'Scandal' Starts As A "Toss Up" For Renewal Or Cancellation; 'GCB' Now a "Toss Up" Too

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 10th, 2012

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 8, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Pan Am* canceled 0.42
Charlie's Angels * canceled 0.48
Work It! * canceled 0.61
Body Of Proof :oops: 0.64
Cougar Town :| :| :| 0.65
Man Up * canceled 0.66
The River* :oops: 0.66
Missing :cry: :cry: 0.68
Scandal :| :| :| 0.82
GCB :| :| :| 0.82
Castle :) :) :) :) 0.88
Last Man Standing :) :) :) :) 0.92
Private Practice :) :) :) :) 0.94
Revenge :) :) :) :) 1.00
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.02
Happy Endings :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.00
Desperate Housewives final season 1.03
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.03
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.27
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.46
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.05

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Scandal's premiere episode ratings placed it squarely in the "toss up" for renewal or cancellation category, but intial predictions can change quickly based on later results. Stay tuned.

Why is Cougar Town just a "toss up" with its dreadful ratings instead of "likely to be canceled" or worse? Because of past (negative) experience, I'm keeping shows in their third seasons (even shortened ones) no lower than a "toss up" because of potential syndication related benefits.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did ABC's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Rebecca

    Has anyone else lost all the comments on all the threads except for brand new comments? Some major internet trouble here, unless I’m banned or something.

  • rich

    no i lost all comments too :-(

  • One

    Sad to see all the comments had to be removed to fix the site.

  • a p garcia

    Scandal has the feel of an NBC failed programs ex the Cape, The Firm.

  • TJ

    I like this show a lot, i hope it comes back. I got 4 other friends hooked.

  • rob60990

    So the only way this site can work right now is to not be able to comment in the ratings posts?

  • Rebecca

    And if the comments are gone I bet no one remembers what the last vote was in the elimination game (for ABC, NBC and Fox). There isn’t even a way to comment on last night’s prelim ratings thread. Tried with my phone, too.

  • SJ

    That’s too bad that the comments are gone… Hopefully the site’s up and running soon.

  • Fred

    Were those annoying Duck Dynasty ads being blamed for the site problems?

  • Rebecca

    @Fred
    Maybe, but not by me this time, lol. Not “out loud” anyway. But that’s when I started getting those “connection timed out/unable to” whatever screens. Some ads are over-powering when they take over the screens more than just being little boxes on the side margin. I hope the site is working well again soon.

  • Fred

    Can’t wait for new ABC sitcoms tonight! Not watching the Revenge recap. Saw every episode sometimes twice. I still have a sinking feeling lots of fans wont be there when Revenge returns next week. Hope I’m wrong and Revenge hits a 2.5-3.0

  • tvfreak

    Dammit! The comments are all gone! And the Elimination Game has been hopelessly screwed up!

    But fear not, fellow players…I am rebooting the game, with a new format and new rules.

    All the shows in the Index, excluding those already canceled, will be listed with 10 points to start. But there is a twist…Instead of voting one show up and one show down, one point each, people may now vote for their three favorite and three least favorite shows, giving +3, +2, +1, -1, -2 and -3 points. (I will demonstrate this below.) For obvious reasons, this will only work if there are more than six shows to choose from, so when only five shows remain I will switch to a two-favorite, two-least favorite system, then to the classic one-favorite, one-least favorite format when only three shows remain. Also, when shows hit 100 points they will be “locked” as victors. If there are multiple victors then the game will reset so only the victors compete against each other. And I will keep meticulous records of when exactly shows either drop out of the game or become victors.

    Other than that, the basic rules remain the same. Wait 24 hours between votes, etc. etc.

    Ready? Let’s go!

    BODY OF PROOF – 10
    COUGAR TOWN – 10
    THE RIVER – 10
    MISSING – 10
    SCANDAL – 10
    GCB – 8 (-2)
    CASTLE – 13 (+3)
    LAST MAN STANDING – 10
    PRIVATE PRACTICE – 10
    REVENGE – 7 (-3)
    SUBURGATORY – 10
    HAPPY ENDINGS – 10
    DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 10
    THE MIDDLE – 12 (+2)
    GREY’S ANATOMY – 9 (-1)
    MODERN FAMILY – 11 (+1)

  • tvfreak

    Oops…can somebody please add Apartment 23 somewhere in the game, with 10 points? Thanks.

  • Sam

    Scandal has an annoying lead you don’t feel anything for. In Shonda Rhines other shows that succeeded (Grey’s Anatomy, Private Practice) the lead has things that are there to overcome. In Scandal, she is just annoying beyond belief. The pilot was the first and only show I will watch. It will suffer the same fate as Rhine’s “Off the Map,” mark my words (it was canceled, for those who don’t know).

  • Bonnie

    Please don’t cancel. Best show out there.

  • Jelly

    BODY OF PROOF – 10
    COUGAR TOWN – 10
    THE RIVER – 8 (-2)
    MISSING – 10
    SCANDAL – 10
    GCB – 8
    CASTLE – 10 (-3)
    LAST MAN STANDING – 9 (-1)
    PRIVATE PRACTICE – 10
    REVENGE – 10 (+3)
    SUBURGATORY – 11 (+1)
    HAPPY ENDINGS – 10
    DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 10
    THE MIDDLE – 12
    GREY’S ANATOMY – 9
    MODERN FAMILY – 11
    APARTMENT 23 – 12 (+2)

  • Gwen

    BODY OF PROOF – 13 (+3)
    COUGAR TOWN – 8 (-2)
    THE RIVER – 8
    MISSING – 9 (-1)
    SCANDAL – 10
    GCB – 10 (+2)
    CASTLE – 10
    LAST MAN STANDING – 9
    PRIVATE PRACTICE – 7 (-3)
    REVENGE – 10
    SUBURGATORY – 11
    HAPPY ENDINGS – 11 (+1)
    DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 10
    THE MIDDLE – 12
    GREY’S ANATOMY – 9
    MODERN FAMILY – 11
    APARTMENT 23 – 12

  • Grey.

    BODY OF PROOF – 13
    COUGAR TOWN – 8
    THE RIVER – 7 (-1)
    MISSING – 9
    SCANDAL – 8 (-2)
    GCB – 10
    CASTLE – 7 (-3)
    LAST MAN STANDING – 9
    PRIVATE PRACTICE – 7
    REVENGE – 13 (+3)
    SUBURGATORY – 12 (+1)
    HAPPY ENDINGS – 11
    DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 12 (+2)
    THE MIDDLE – 12
    GREY’S ANATOMY – 9
    MODERN FAMILY – 11
    APARTMENT 23 – 12

  • still good shows on tv

    BODY OF PROOF – 13
    COUGAR TOWN – 5 (-3)
    THE RIVER – 7
    MISSING – 9
    SCANDAL – 8
    GCB – 10
    CASTLE – 7
    LAST MAN STANDING – 11 (+2)
    PRIVATE PRACTICE – 7
    REVENGE – 14 (+1)
    SUBURGATORY – 12
    HAPPY ENDINGS – 11
    DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 12
    THE MIDDLE – 15 (+3)
    GREY’S ANATOMY – 9
    MODERN FAMILY – 10 (-1)
    APARTMENT 23 – 10 (-2)

  • Greg

    BODY OF PROOF – 13
    COUGAR TOWN – 8 (+3)
    THE RIVER – 7
    MISSING – 9
    SCANDAL – 8
    GCB – 10
    CASTLE – 7
    LAST MAN STANDING – 10 (-1)
    PRIVATE PRACTICE – 7
    REVENGE – 14
    SUBURGATORY – 12
    HAPPY ENDINGS – 13 (+2)
    DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 12
    THE MIDDLE – 15 (-2)
    GREY’S ANATOMY – 10 (+1)
    MODERN FAMILY – 7 (-3)
    APARTMENT 23 – 10

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