FOX: 'Fringe's' Terrible Ratings Almost Irrelevant To Renewal, But Warner Brother's Fees Aren't

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 10th, 2012

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 8, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Fringe (F) :| :| :| 0.50
I Hate My Teenage Daughter* canceled 0.61
Breaking In :oops: 0.65
The Cleveland Show renewed 0.66
Allen Gregory * canceled 0.72
Raising Hope renewed 0.87
Bob's Burgers :| :| :| 0.87
Terra Nova * canceled 0.90
Alcatraz :cry: :cry: 0.94
The Finder :cry: :cry: 0.94
American Dad renewed 0.96
Napoleon Dynamite* :| :| :| 1.06
Bones renewed 1.11
House final season 1.14
The Simpsons renewed 1.24
New Girl renewed 1.35
Family Guy renewed 1.37
Touch :) :) :) :) 1.38
Glee renewed 1.44

-
Fringe ratings have bumped along at woeful levels since January.  Fans' hopes for a fifth season seem to rise and fall with those tiny up or down ticks, and I don't think they should.

As I've been noting all season long. Fringe's terrible ratings under normal circumstances would certainly cause the show to be canceled. But the potential money fountain that is off network syndication sometimes causes producers to do things that don't fit "normal" like cutting their license fee to the network to nothing. That's what Warner Brothers will have to do to get another season of Fringe, and the chance that they might is what's keeping it a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did FOX's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Holly

    @KOs,

    Am I wrong or do I sense that the writer of this article hate/dislike Fringe?

    You’re wrong.

  • bran

    FRINGE – 16
    BREAKING IN – 3
    THE CLEVELAND SHOW – 10
    RAISING HOPE – 16
    BOB’S BURGERS – 8 (-3)
    ALCATRAZ – 12
    THE FINDER – 2 (-1)
    AMERICAN DAD – 10
    NAPOLEON DYNAMITE – 7 (-2)
    BONES – 10
    HOUSE – 10
    THE SIMPSONS – 10
    NEW GIRL – 13 (+1)
    FAMILY GUY – 10
    TOUCH – 18 (+3)
    GLEE – 5 (+2)

  • UncleRancid

    It’s official — Fringe *will* be canceled because I like it: but, then again, I also liked Ishtar. :-)

    Bring back FireFly and Moonlight!!!

  • Ryan

    FRINGE – 19 (+3)
    BREAKING IN – 3
    THE CLEVELAND SHOW – 10
    RAISING HOPE – 16
    BOB’S BURGERS – 7 (-1)
    ALCATRAZ – 14 (+2)
    THE FINDER – 0 (-2) ELIMINATED
    AMERICAN DAD – 10
    NAPOLEON DYNAMITE – 7
    BONES – 10
    HOUSE – 10
    THE SIMPSONS – 10
    NEW GIRL – 13
    FAMILY GUY – 11 (+1)
    TOUCH – 18
    GLEE – 2 (-3)

  • Evanmav

    How can Touch have that many smiley faces when it pulled at 2.3 last week after American Idol? Honestly the show seems like its following Alcatraz’s route and the ratings will keep going down. And Fringe I’m still confused on what will happen. Not exactly sure how the show is still on the air. My guess is that FOX will pick it up for a shortened last season but who knows

  • Naemeth

    Update, Breaking In has been canceled, again ;).

  • Cory

    It’s a shame that Breaking In was so bad the first season that people didn’t want to give it a shot this season. This season was soooooo much better than the first and could easily have survived if this was the first season. The only reason the ratings were/are so low is because no one wants to give it another shot. Oh well!

    FRINGE – 16 (-3)
    BREAKING IN – 3
    THE CLEVELAND SHOW – 9 (-1)
    RAISING HOPE – 17 (+1)
    BOB’S BURGERS – 5 (-2)
    ALCATRAZ – 17 (+3)
    THE FINDER – 0 ELIMINATED
    AMERICAN DAD – 10
    NAPOLEON DYNAMITE – 7
    BONES – 10
    HOUSE – 10
    THE SIMPSONS – 10
    NEW GIRL – 15 (+2)
    FAMILY GUY – 11
    TOUCH – 18
    GLEE – 2

  • Were

    FRINGE – 19 (+3)
    BREAKING IN – 3
    THE CLEVELAND SHOW – 9
    RAISING HOPE – 17
    BOB’S BURGERS – 5
    ALCATRAZ – 19 (+2)
    THE FINDER – 0 ELIMINATED
    AMERICAN DAD – 10
    NAPOLEON DYNAMITE – 6 (-1)
    BONES – 8 (-2)
    HOUSE – 10
    THE SIMPSONS – 10
    NEW GIRL – 14 (+1)
    FAMILY GUY – 11
    TOUCH – 18
    GLEE – 0 (-3) ELIMINATED

  • michael

    FRINGE – 16 (-3)
    BREAKING IN – 3
    THE CLEVELAND SHOW – 9
    RAISING HOPE – 16 (-1)
    BOB’S BURGERS – 5
    ALCATRAZ – 17 (-2)
    THE FINDER – 0
    AMERICAN DAD – 10
    NAPOLEON DYNAMITE – 6
    BONES – 8
    HOUSE – 10
    THE SIMPSONS – 10
    NEW GIRL – 15 (+1)
    FAMILY GUY – 13 (+2)
    TOUCH – 18
    GLEE – 3 (+3)

  • Cory

    @Were ….. you put +1 on New Girl but subtracted one instead. It was at 15 after my post so it should be 16 now. I’ll re-post the correct numbers below for you.

    FRINGE – 19 (+3)
    BREAKING IN – 3
    THE CLEVELAND SHOW – 9
    RAISING HOPE – 17
    BOB’S BURGERS – 5
    ALCATRAZ – 19 (+2)
    THE FINDER – 0 ELIMINATED
    AMERICAN DAD – 10
    NAPOLEON DYNAMITE – 6 (-1)
    BONES – 8 (-2)
    HOUSE – 10
    THE SIMPSONS – 10
    NEW GIRL – 16 (+1)
    FAMILY GUY – 11
    TOUCH – 18
    GLEE – 0 (-3) ELIMINATED

  • Cory

    crap, now michael posted while I was posting so I’ll fix it again….these are the correct numbers….

    FRINGE – 16 (-3)
    BREAKING IN – 3
    THE CLEVELAND SHOW – 9
    RAISING HOPE – 16 (-1)
    BOB’S BURGERS – 5
    ALCATRAZ – 17 (-2)
    THE FINDER – 0
    AMERICAN DAD – 10
    NAPOLEON DYNAMITE – 6
    BONES – 8
    HOUSE – 10
    THE SIMPSONS – 10
    NEW GIRL – 17 (+1)
    FAMILY GUY – 13 (+2)
    TOUCH – 18
    GLEE – 3 (+3)

  • Marty

    FRINGE – 22 (+3)
    BREAKING IN – 3
    THE CLEVELAND SHOW – 9
    RAISING HOPE – 17
    BOB’S BURGERS – 2 (-2)
    ALCATRAZ – 19 (+2)
    THE FINDER – 0 ELIMINATED
    AMERICAN DAD – 10
    NAPOLEON DYNAMITE – 4 (-2)
    BONES – 10 (+2)
    HOUSE – 10
    THE SIMPSONS – 10
    NEW GIRL – 15 (-1)
    FAMILY GUY – 11
    TOUCH – 19 (+1)
    GLEE – 0 (-3) ELIMINATED

  • Marty

    Well seems i wasnt the online one:P
    Again:

    FRINGE – 19 (+3)
    BREAKING IN – 3
    THE CLEVELAND SHOW – 9
    RAISING HOPE – 16
    BOB’S BURGERS – 2 (-3)
    ALCATRAZ – 15 (-2)
    THE FINDER – 0
    AMERICAN DAD – 10
    NAPOLEON DYNAMITE – 5 (-1)
    BONES – 10 (+2)
    HOUSE – 10
    THE SIMPSONS – 10
    NEW GIRL – 17
    FAMILY GUY – 13
    TOUCH – 18
    GLEE – 4 (+1)

  • BoiseMAK

    @Richard Steven Hack
    How would anything Fox puts in place of Fringe make more money? Fox would be lucky to find a new show that gets a 1.8+ rating on Friday nights, really lucky to find a show that can maintain those ratings for multiple seasons, and extremely lucky to find a show that they are getting as cheap as Fringe. I will agree with you though that it’s probably all in Fox’s hands at this point.

  • Simon

    Don’t know if this means anything but Fringe just won March TV Madness http://blog.zap2it.com/frominsidethebox/2012/04/fringe-wins-tv-march-madness-heres-hoping-it-gets-renewed.html

    Jole Wyman tweeted that we should hear something this week, so my guess is either tonight or tomorrow.

  • rob60990

    FRINGE – 18 (-1)
    BREAKING IN – 0 (-3)
    THE CLEVELAND SHOW – 9
    RAISING HOPE – 19 (+3)
    BOB’S BURGERS – 0 (-2)
    ALCATRAZ – 15
    AMERICAN DAD – 10
    NAPOLEON DYNAMITE – 5
    BONES – 12 (+2)
    HOUSE – 10
    THE SIMPSONS – 10
    NEW GIRL – 18 (+1)
    FAMILY GUY – 13
    TOUCH – 18
    GLEE – 4

  • Tahina

    Fringe is a ghost, nobody sees it…Im still surprised FOX has it tossed up still.

  • AC75

    @BoiseMAK

    “Fox would be lucky to find a new show that gets a 1.8+ rating on Friday nights, really lucky to find a show that can maintain those ratings for multiple seasons”

    Fringe doesn’t get 1.8 now and hasn’t for a very long time. The last 3 episodes have been 0.9, 1.2, 1.0 ….

  • still good shows on tv

    FRINGE – 20 (+2)
    THE CLEVELAND SHOW – 9
    RAISING HOPE – 22 (+3)
    ALCATRAZ – 15
    AMERICAN DAD – 10
    NAPOLEON DYNAMITE – 5
    BONES – 12
    HOUSE – 9 (-1)
    THE SIMPSONS – 10
    NEW GIRL – 15 (-3)
    FAMILY GUY – 13 (+1)
    TOUCH – 18
    GLEE – 2 (-2)

  • Andrew

    FRINGE – 20
    THE CLEVELAND SHOW – 9
    RAISING HOPE – 22
    ALCATRAZ – 18 (+3)
    AMERICAN DAD – 12 (+2)
    NAPOLEON DYNAMITE – 4 (-1)
    BONES – 12
    HOUSE – 9
    THE SIMPSONS – 7 (-3)
    NEW GIRL – 15
    FAMILY GUY – 14 (+1)
    TOUCH – 18
    GLEE – 0 (-2)

© 2014 Tribune Digital Ventures