FOX: 'Fringe's' Terrible Ratings Almost Irrelevant To Renewal, But Warner Brother's Fees Aren't

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 10th, 2012

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 8, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Fringe (F) :| :| :| 0.50
I Hate My Teenage Daughter* canceled 0.61
Breaking In :oops: 0.65
The Cleveland Show renewed 0.66
Allen Gregory * canceled 0.72
Raising Hope renewed 0.87
Bob's Burgers :| :| :| 0.87
Terra Nova * canceled 0.90
Alcatraz :cry: :cry: 0.94
The Finder :cry: :cry: 0.94
American Dad renewed 0.96
Napoleon Dynamite* :| :| :| 1.06
Bones renewed 1.11
House final season 1.14
The Simpsons renewed 1.24
New Girl renewed 1.35
Family Guy renewed 1.37
Touch :) :) :) :) 1.38
Glee renewed 1.44

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Fringe ratings have bumped along at woeful levels since January.  Fans' hopes for a fifth season seem to rise and fall with those tiny up or down ticks, and I don't think they should.

As I've been noting all season long. Fringe's terrible ratings under normal circumstances would certainly cause the show to be canceled. But the potential money fountain that is off network syndication sometimes causes producers to do things that don't fit "normal" like cutting their license fee to the network to nothing. That's what Warner Brothers will have to do to get another season of Fringe, and the chance that they might is what's keeping it a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did FOX's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Denbo

    I like Fringe… it has replaced what used to be “SciFi Fridays” in my house (used to be SG1 we watched). I hate to see it go off the air but I understand that bad ratings is bad ratings.

  • MJDB

    Possible 2012-13 Primetime Schedule:

    Sunday:

    8:00-The Simpsons
    8:30-The Cleveland Show/Bob’s Burgers
    9:00-Family Guy/Napoleon Dynamite
    9:30-American Dad/New Comedy

    Monday:

    8:00-Touch
    9:00-Bones

    Tuesday:

    8:00-Raising Hope
    8:30-New Comedy
    9:00-New Girl
    9:30-New Comedy

    Wednesday:

    8:00-The X Factor/American Idol

    Thursday:

    8:00-The X Factor/American Idol
    9:00-Glee (Final Season)

    Friday

    8:00-Kitchen Nightmares
    9:00-Fringe (Final Season)/New Drama

    Saturday:

    8:00-Cops
    8:30-Cops

    9:00-Drama Rerun

  • Rebecca

    Glee was eliminated more than once recently. The next person to vote, please leave Glee off the game list now. Thanks.

  • Dennis

    FRINGE – 23 (+3)
    THE CLEVELAND SHOW – 9
    RAISING HOPE – 19 (-3)
    ALCATRAZ – 18)
    AMERICAN DAD – 12
    NAPOLEON DYNAMITE – 3 (-1)
    BONES – 12
    HOUSE – 9
    THE SIMPSONS – 5 (-2)
    NEW GIRL – 15
    FAMILY GUY – 15 (+1)
    TOUCH – 20 (+2)

  • Tony

    FRINGE – 26 (+3)
    THE CLEVELAND SHOW – 9
    RAISING HOPE – 17 (-2)
    ALCATRAZ – 17 (-1)
    AMERICAN DAD – 12
    NAPOLEON DYNAMITE – 3
    BONES – 12
    HOUSE – 10 (+1)
    THE SIMPSONS – 5
    NEW GIRL – 12 (-3)
    FAMILY GUY – 17 (+2)
    TOUCH – 20

  • Petar

    hahahhahahahahhaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa

    “Fringe’s Terrible Ratings” are exactly the same like the finder Terrible Ratings wich is new show, touch Terrible Ratings if it was in friday or unscripted shows in friday or all fox friday shows! But no FRINGE is the one! Come on!!!!!!!!!!

  • tvfreak

    FRINGE – 26
    THE CLEVELAND SHOW – 9
    RAISING HOPE – 19 (+2)
    ALCATRAZ – 18 (+1)
    AMERICAN DAD – 12
    NAPOLEON DYNAMITE – 3
    BONES – 11 (-1)
    HOUSE – 10
    THE SIMPSONS – 5
    NEW GIRL – 9 (-3)
    FAMILY GUY – 15 (-2)
    TOUCH – 23 (+3)

    Eliminated:
    16. The Finder (4-12, 6:00am)
    15. Glee (4-12, 6:16am)
    14. Breaking In (4-12, 9:40am)
    13. Bob’s Burgers (4-12, 9:40am)

    “Babies are cool… until you’ve done everything there’s to do with them, then you get bored. That’s why TV shows about babies never last more than a year.”
    -Burt Chance, from Raising Hope episode 1.10 “Burt Rocks”

  • JakeSnake

    TV insider just updated the odds of renewal for Fringe from “safe bet” to “a sure thing”!

    Fringe will get five seasons.

  • Nick

    FRINGE – 26
    THE CLEVELAND SHOW – 9
    RAISING HOPE – 21 (+2)
    ALCATRAZ – 21 (+3)
    AMERICAN DAD – 11 (-1)
    NAPOLEON DYNAMITE – 3
    BONES – 11
    HOUSE – 10
    THE SIMPSONS – 5
    NEW GIRL – 7 (-2)
    FAMILY GUY – 12 (-3)
    TOUCH – 24 (+1)

    FOX proudly harbors my 2 least favorite shows…

  • Nick

    @Tvfreak,
    Can you start the Elimination Game on the page for the CW? Even though there are a small amount of shows, people have filled 7 pages of comments, while CBS only has 2. So you have got some rabid fans who want to vote.
    Thanks.

  • james

    FRINGE – 27 (+1)
    THE CLEVELAND SHOW – 9
    RAISING HOPE – 21
    ALCATRAZ – 21
    AMERICAN DAD – 11
    NAPOLEON DYNAMITE – 3
    BONES – 11
    HOUSE – 10
    THE SIMPSONS – 4 (-1)
    NEW GIRL – 9 (+2)
    FAMILY GUY – 9 (-3)
    TOUCH – 27 (+3)

  • James

    FRINGE – 30 (+3)
    THE CLEVELAND SHOW – 9
    RAISING HOPE – 21
    ALCATRAZ – 21
    AMERICAN DAD – 11
    NAPOLEON DYNAMITE – 3
    BONES – 11
    HOUSE – 10
    THE SIMPSONS – 4
    NEW GIRL – 9
    FAMILY GUY – 9
    TOUCH – 27

  • Randy

    I’m shocked you have Touch being so favorable. It keeps going down in ratings every week. It started at 12 (according to Wikipedia), and last week it’s now 7.15.

  • tropolite

    FRINGE – 33 (+3)
    THE CLEVELAND SHOW – 6 (-3)
    RAISING HOPE – 21
    ALCATRAZ – 23 (+2)
    AMERICAN DAD – 11
    NAPOLEON DYNAMITE – 1 (-2)
    BONES – 11
    HOUSE – 10
    THE SIMPSONS – 4
    NEW GIRL – 8 (-1)
    FAMILY GUY – 9
    TOUCH – 28 (+1)

  • Anthony M

    Fringe will be back, I told you guys this weeks ago. Forget the Nielsen numbers, they are archaic.

  • jackie

    FRINGE – 31 (-2)
    THE CLEVELAND SHOW – 3 (-3)
    RAISING HOPE – 21
    ALCATRAZ – 23
    AMERICAN DAD – 11
    NAPOLEON DYNAMITE – 0 (-1)
    BONES – 11
    HOUSE – 11 (+1)
    THE SIMPSONS – 4
    NEW GIRL – 11 (+3)
    FAMILY GUY – 11 (+2)
    TOUCH – 28

  • Nick

    There’s been a mishap with the elimination Game: James has only added his “+3″ vote and neglected all the rest. Can someone fix this?

  • Amanda

    FRINGE – 31 (-2)
    THE CLEVELAND SHOW – 3
    RAISING HOPE – 21
    ALCATRAZ – 23
    AMERICAN DAD – 11
    BONES – 11
    HOUSE – 12 (+1)
    THE SIMPSONS – 3 (-1)
    NEW GIRL – 13 (+2)
    FAMILY GUY – 8 (-3)
    TOUCH – 31 (+3)

  • Rebecca

    @Nick (I’m not tvfreak, but…)
    Do they really want to vote on the CW thread, though? Last time we played a game over there a lot of them were rude and didn’t want the game there at all. Not chancing that again. @tvfreak would probably say the same.

  • Rebecca

    @James
    If you vote for one show you must vote the other shows, too. You did a “+3″ but not a “-3, -2, -1, +2 and +1.” Hence your vote from earlier does not count. Looking now to fix if necessary.

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