FOX: 'Fringe's' Terrible Ratings Almost Irrelevant To Renewal, But Warner Brother's Fees Aren't

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 10th, 2012

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 8, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Fringe (F) :| :| :| 0.50
I Hate My Teenage Daughter* canceled 0.61
Breaking In :oops: 0.65
The Cleveland Show renewed 0.66
Allen Gregory * canceled 0.72
Raising Hope renewed 0.87
Bob's Burgers :| :| :| 0.87
Terra Nova * canceled 0.90
Alcatraz :cry: :cry: 0.94
The Finder :cry: :cry: 0.94
American Dad renewed 0.96
Napoleon Dynamite* :| :| :| 1.06
Bones renewed 1.11
House final season 1.14
The Simpsons renewed 1.24
New Girl renewed 1.35
Family Guy renewed 1.37
Touch :) :) :) :) 1.38
Glee renewed 1.44

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Fringe ratings have bumped along at woeful levels since January.  Fans' hopes for a fifth season seem to rise and fall with those tiny up or down ticks, and I don't think they should.

As I've been noting all season long. Fringe's terrible ratings under normal circumstances would certainly cause the show to be canceled. But the potential money fountain that is off network syndication sometimes causes producers to do things that don't fit "normal" like cutting their license fee to the network to nothing. That's what Warner Brothers will have to do to get another season of Fringe, and the chance that they might is what's keeping it a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did FOX's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • TVFan123

    FRINGE – 40 (+3)
    RAISING HOPE – 25 (-1)
    ALCATRAZ – 20 (-2)
    BONES – 9 (+1)
    HOUSE – 13
    NEW GIRL – 19 (+2)
    FAMILY GUY – 0 (-3) ELIMINATED
    TOUCH – 34

  • poshreany

    they should cancel, alcatraz,fringe, and breaking in, alcatraz has continued to fall in ratings, views since the pilot and not gained views once dropping more then half its pilot views, and fringe is getting as low as 3 million views that’s bad…

  • poshreany

    i so don’t get that number’s game at all… but the only shows that are good on this list are raising hope…

  • alexjones
  • Nick

    FRINGE – 40
    RAISING HOPE – 27 (+2)
    ALCATRAZ – 23 (+3)
    BONES – 8 (-1)
    HOUSE – 11 (-2)
    NEW GIRL – 16 (-3)
    TOUCH – 35 (+1)

  • Wilma

    FRINGE – 100,000 (+25)
    BREAKING IN – 6 (-8)
    THE CLEVELAND SHOW – 10(-4)
    RAISING HOPE – 13 (+2)
    BOB’S BURGERS – 11(+1)
    ALCATRAZ – 11
    THE FINDER – 5 (90)
    AMERICAN DAD – 10
    NAPOLEON DYNAMITE – 9 (-5)
    BONES – 10 (-9)
    HOUSE – 10(-5)
    THE SIMPSONS – 10
    NEW GIRL – 10 (+8)
    FAMILY GUY – 10
    TOUCH – 15
    GLEE – 4

  • tvfreak

    Is this Wilma person a joker? Completely disregard this nonsense she’s posted, go with @Nick’s number’s below:

    FRINGE – 40
    RAISING HOPE – 27
    ALCATRAZ – 23
    BONES – 8
    HOUSE – 11
    NEW GIRL – 16
    TOUCH – 35

  • tvfreak

    @poshreany: Look back at the first page of comments for instructions on how to play the Elimination Game. It’s also open on the ABC, CBS, and NBC R/C Index threads.

  • Aaron

    FRINGE – 42 (+2)
    RAISING HOPE – 26 (-1)
    ALCATRAZ – 26 (+3)
    BONES – 8 (-2)
    HOUSE – 11
    NEW GIRL – 13 (-3)
    TOUCH – 36 (+1)

  • Aaron

    oop srry bones

    FRINGE – 42 (+2)
    RAISING HOPE – 26 (-1)
    ALCATRAZ – 26 (+3)
    BONES – 6 (-2)
    HOUSE – 11
    NEW GIRL – 13 (-3)
    TOUCH – 36 (+1)

  • tscchope

    There’s no commercial reason for FOX to renew Fringe. Whatever ad revenues they think they’ll be getting, they won’t.

    Putting on shows that get low 1s on a Friday does mean that if Fox ever does have a hit on a Friday, most people won’t be watching because they are hacked off over the poor ratings fare on Fridays for the last few years.

    TVfreak -Raising Hope, New Girl and Bones are already renews. House is in its final season. Alcatrash, Cringe and Ouch aren’t coming back. I’ve already given up on Touch and I had such hopes. Though I’d rather like the day after Fringe is renewed by Reilly, when he gets his pink slip and Fringe renewal will be revoked

  • Nevid

    FRINGE – 41 (-1)
    RAISING HOPE – 24 (-2)
    ALCATRAZ – 26
    BONES – 7 (+1)
    HOUSE – 8 (-3)
    NEW GIRL – 16 (+3)
    TOUCH – 38 (+2)

  • Rebecca

    FRINGE – 40 (-1)
    RAISING HOPE – 27 (+3)
    ALCATRAZ – 27 (+1)
    BONES – 5 (-2)
    HOUSE – 5 (-3)
    NEW GIRL – 18 (+2)
    TOUCH – 38

    quote from RH [2.21]:
    Virginia Slims Chance to “Inside Probe”: I was immediately inquizzical of this mystery. I watch a lot of CSI, SVU, NCIS…if a show’s got letters in it, I am so there.

  • Milos

    FRINGE – 43 (+3)
    RAISING HOPE – 26 (-1)
    ALCATRAZ – 24 (-3)
    BONES – 7 (+2)
    HOUSE – 6 (+1)
    NEW GIRL – 18
    TOUCH – 36 (-2)

  • Bran

    FRINGE – 40 (-3)
    RAISING HOPE – 27 (+1)
    ALCATRAZ – 24
    BONES – 6 (-1)
    HOUSE – 4 (-2)
    NEW GIRL – 20 (+2)
    TOUCH – 39 (+3)

  • Patrick

    I have a feeling most people were brought here for fringe season 5

    FRINGE – 23 (+3)
    THE CLEVELAND SHOW – 9
    RAISING HOPE – 22
    ALCATRAZ – 16 (-2)
    AMERICAN DAD – 14 (+2)
    NAPOLEON DYNAMITE – 4
    BONES – 12
    HOUSE – 9
    THE SIMPSONS – 6 (-1)
    NEW GIRL – 15
    FAMILY GUY – 15 (+1)
    TOUCH – 18
    GLEE – -3 (-3)

  • Patrick

    edit; sorry replied to an earlier page by mistake

    FRINGE – 43 (+3)
    RAISING HOPE – 28 (+1)
    ALCATRAZ – 26 (+2)
    BONES – 3 (-3)
    HOUSE – 2 (-2)
    NEW GIRL – 19 (-1)
    TOUCH – 39

  • Lucas

    FRINGE – 44 (+1)
    RAISING HOPE – 31 (+3)
    ALCATRAZ – 28 (+2)
    BONES – 0 (-3) Eliminated
    HOUSE – 0 (-2) Eliminated
    NEW GIRL – 19
    TOUCH – 38 (-1)

  • MJDB

    Shows that I have watched regularly this season on FOX:

    The Cleveland Show
    Allen Gregory
    Bob’s Burgers
    Napoleon Dynamite
    The Simpsons
    Family Guy
    The X Factor
    American Idol

  • tvfreak

    Now that we are down to five shows, only vote in +2, +1, -1, and -2. No +3’s or -3’s.

    FRINGE – 43 (-1) (Purely fake wrath here, because I cannot vote down Alcatraz.)
    RAISING HOPE – 32 (+1)
    ALCATRAZ – 28
    NEW GIRL – 17 (-2)
    TOUCH – 40 (+2)

    Eliminated:

    16. The Finder (4-12, 6:00am)
    15. Glee (4-12, 6:16am)
    14. Breaking In (4-12, 9:40am)
    13. Bob’s Burgers (4-12, 9:40am)
    12. Napoleon Dynamite (4-13, 3:38am)
    11. The Cleveland Show (4-13, 8:39am)
    10. The Simpsons (4-13, 10:49am)
    9. American Dad (4-13, 5:26pm)
    8. Family Guy (4-13, 5:40pm)
    7. Bones (4-14, 1:57pm)
    6. House (4-14, 1:57pm)

    “T-600 models had a titanium alloy endoskeleton, but it was vulnerable to heat. Coltan alloys have a much higher melting point.”
    -Cameron, from Terminator: The Sarah Connor Chronicles episode 1.04 “Heavy Metal”

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