FOX: 'Fringe's' Terrible Ratings Almost Irrelevant To Renewal, But Warner Brother's Fees Aren't

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 10th, 2012

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 8, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Fringe (F) :| :| :| 0.50
I Hate My Teenage Daughter* canceled 0.61
Breaking In :oops: 0.65
The Cleveland Show renewed 0.66
Allen Gregory * canceled 0.72
Raising Hope renewed 0.87
Bob's Burgers :| :| :| 0.87
Terra Nova * canceled 0.90
Alcatraz :cry: :cry: 0.94
The Finder :cry: :cry: 0.94
American Dad renewed 0.96
Napoleon Dynamite* :| :| :| 1.06
Bones renewed 1.11
House final season 1.14
The Simpsons renewed 1.24
New Girl renewed 1.35
Family Guy renewed 1.37
Touch :) :) :) :) 1.38
Glee renewed 1.44

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Fringe ratings have bumped along at woeful levels since January.  Fans' hopes for a fifth season seem to rise and fall with those tiny up or down ticks, and I don't think they should.

As I've been noting all season long. Fringe's terrible ratings under normal circumstances would certainly cause the show to be canceled. But the potential money fountain that is off network syndication sometimes causes producers to do things that don't fit "normal" like cutting their license fee to the network to nothing. That's what Warner Brothers will have to do to get another season of Fringe, and the chance that they might is what's keeping it a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did FOX's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Sean

    FRINGE – 41 (+2)
    RAISING HOPE – 34 (-1)
    ALCATRAZ – 25
    NEW GIRL – 22 (+1)
    TOUCH – 40 (-2)

  • FRINGE4FIVE

    FRINGE – 43 (+2)
    RAISING HOPE – 34
    ALCATRAZ – 24 (-1)
    NEW GIRL – 22 (+1)
    TOUCH – 38 (-2)

  • James

    FRINGE – 43
    RAISING HOPE – 32 (-2)
    ALCATRAZ – 23 (-1)
    NEW GIRL – 23 (+1)
    TOUCH – 40 (+2)

    wow in 2 days a ton have been eliminated here. Glad to see Touch hanging in.

  • Sam

    FRINGE – 45 (+2)
    RAISING HOPE – 32 (-2)
    ALCATRAZ – 23
    NEW GIRL – 23 (+1)
    TOUCH – 39 (-1)

    Seems kinda pointless now, or else its goin to take a long time for another to be eliminated

  • Rebecca

    @Sam
    Depends on how many people keep voting. The old game format was kind of at a standstill but with this new format shows could be eliminated quicker.

    @tvfreak
    Looks like the new game format is working well except for a few mistakes here and there along the way. I’d recommend starting this game each April around this time, since by then everyone knows what shows they like and dislike from most of the season.

  • pat543

    FRINGE – 43 (-2)
    RAISING HOPE – 32
    ALCATRAZ – 24 (+1)
    NEW GIRL – 22 (-1)
    TOUCH – 41 (+2)
    I am sorry if i did this wrong

  • Rebecca

    @pat543
    You did it just right.

  • SpenB

    FRINGE – 45 (+2)
    RAISING HOPE – 32
    ALCATRAZ – 25 (+1)
    NEW GIRL – 20 (-2)
    TOUCH – 40 (-1)

  • tvfreak

    @Rebecca: Yes, I will reboot the game every April now. But I will play it during the main season as well, maybe starting in mid-to-late October or something. Also, I realize that there’s been a lot of eliminations very quickly. Next time, I’ll start the shows out at 50 points. This comes from IMDb’s Hunger Games Elimination Game, which is also where I got the 100-point “victor” lock. Not that it’s gonna be of much use with so few shows left and even fewer above the 50-point mark. :(

  • were123

    Hi, I’m the formely known ‘were’, I’m just testing if my gravatar works.

  • SpenB

    @were123

    You should be able to type in anything as your name, I believe your gravatar is tied to your email.

  • K-Fed

    FRINGE – 47 (+2)
    RAISING HOPE – 31 (-1)
    ALCATRAZ – 23 (-2)
    NEW GIRL – 21 (+1)
    TOUCH – 40

  • Deano87
  • poshreany

    FRINGE – 46 (-1)
    RAISING HOPE – 33 (+2)
    ALCATRAZ – 21 (-2)
    NEW GIRL – 22 (+1)
    TOUCH – 40

  • poshreany

    disregard my scores again, i need to just stop playing the elimination game i keep messing up i didn’t realize you could only vote every 24hrs… sorry all… 24hours is a long time though… how come you cant delete posts that would be good.

  • poshreany

    anyway me again… shows with this * next to it should be cancelled…

    shows i like on fox are…

    raising hope

    shows i dislike are, i wont say any animation should be cancelled people may not like that

    alcatraz*
    house
    terra nova
    family guy
    the simpsons
    american dad
    bobs burgers
    bones*
    the cleveland show

    shows that are alright

    glee
    new girl*
    fringe*

    shows that i haven’t seen

    touch*
    the finder

  • Dennis

    FRINGE – 49 (+2)
    RAISING HOPE – 30 (-1)
    ALCATRAZ – 23
    NEW GIRL – 22 (+1)
    TOUCH – 38 (-2)

  • Harry

    why is Fringe an .5 and it’s a toss up, and The Finder is a likely to be canceled at .94?

  • Tony

    @ Harry Fringe is a veteran show and is pushing for a final short season,
    while Finder is a first year show and has no hope

  • Tony

    FRINGE – 51 (+2)
    RAISING HOPE – 30
    ALCATRAZ – 21 (-2)
    NEW GIRL – 23 (+1)
    TOUCH – 37 (-1)

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