FOX: 'Fringe's' Terrible Ratings Almost Irrelevant To Renewal, But Warner Brother's Fees Aren't

Categories: 2-Featured,Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 10th, 2012

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 8, 2012):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Fringe (F) :| :| :| 0.50
I Hate My Teenage Daughter* canceled 0.61
Breaking In :oops: 0.65
The Cleveland Show renewed 0.66
Allen Gregory * canceled 0.72
Raising Hope renewed 0.87
Bob's Burgers :| :| :| 0.87
Terra Nova * canceled 0.90
Alcatraz :cry: :cry: 0.94
The Finder :cry: :cry: 0.94
American Dad renewed 0.96
Napoleon Dynamite* :| :| :| 1.06
Bones renewed 1.11
House final season 1.14
The Simpsons renewed 1.24
New Girl renewed 1.35
Family Guy renewed 1.37
Touch :) :) :) :) 1.38
Glee renewed 1.44

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Fringe ratings have bumped along at woeful levels since January.  Fans' hopes for a fifth season seem to rise and fall with those tiny up or down ticks, and I don't think they should.

As I've been noting all season long. Fringe's terrible ratings under normal circumstances would certainly cause the show to be canceled. But the potential money fountain that is off network syndication sometimes causes producers to do things that don't fit "normal" like cutting their license fee to the network to nothing. That's what Warner Brothers will have to do to get another season of Fringe, and the chance that they might is what's keeping it a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation.

The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did FOX's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Nevid

    FRINGE – 50 (-1)
    RAISING HOPE – 30
    ALCATRAZ – 19 (-2)
    NEW GIRL – 24 (+1)
    TOUCH – 39 (+2)

  • Daniel

    FRINGE – 52 (+2)
    RAISING HOPE – 29 (-1)
    ALCATRAZ – 17 (-2)
    NEW GIRL – 24
    TOUCH – 40 (+1)

  • Tomas

    FRINGE – 54 (+2)
    RAISING HOPE – 29
    ALCATRAZ – 16 (-1)
    NEW GIRL – 25 (+1)
    TOUCH – 38 (-2)

  • Rebecca

    Just fixing the votes, because @Nevid’s previous vote at 5:48 am PST does not count. He/she didn’t wait 24 hours since the vote from yesterday. So, including how Daniel and Tomas voted since, here is the new count. Next person to vote goes off this one:

    FRINGE – 55
    RAISING HOPE – 29
    ALCATRAZ – 19
    NEW GIRL – 24
    TOUCH – 36

  • Rebecca

    new vote

    FRINGE – 53 (-2)
    RAISING HOPE – 31 (+2)
    ALCATRAZ – 19
    NEW GIRL – 25 (+1)
    TOUCH – 35 (-1)

    quote from Glee [3.15]:
    Puck: The Apple guy. The Facebook guy. Abraham Lincoln. What do these guys all have in common with us?
    Finn: I don’t know. They were all in a show choir?

  • Sean

    new vote

    FRINGE – 55 (+2)
    RAISING HOPE – 30 (-1)
    ALCATRAZ – 19
    NEW GIRL – 26 (+1)
    TOUCH – 33 (-2)

  • Kay

    How come there is 6 worst shows then Alcatraz and it’s endangered? PLEASE renew Alcatraz Fox!!!

  • Rebecca

    Just checked TVG’s listings online and they show Glee, NG and then a NG rerun airing tomorrow night, but really there is a new episode (part 2 of season finale) of RH airing after NG (according to futoncritic’s site). I hope TVG isn’t right.

  • Fringie

    FRINGE – 57 (+2)
    RAISING HOPE – 29 (-1)
    ALCATRAZ – 17 (-2)
    NEW GIRL – 27 (+1)
    TOUCH – 33

  • TVFanatic

    FRINGE – 59 (+2)
    RAISING HOPE – 28 (-1)
    ALCATRAZ – 15 (-2)
    NEW GIRL – 27
    TOUCH – 34 (+1)

  • Kelsey15

    FRINGE – 61 (+2)
    RAISING HOPE – 27 (-1)
    ALCATRAZ – 13 (-2)
    NEW GIRL – 28 (+1)
    TOUCH – 34

  • Ian

    FRINGE – 63 (+2)
    RAISING HOPE – 26 (-1)
    ALCATRAZ – 14 (+1)
    NEW GIRL – 28
    TOUCH – 32 (-2)

    lol – no show is going anywhere for a long time

  • John (the Scruffy One)

    Fringe-61(-2)
    Raising Hope-25(-1)
    Alcatraz-16(+2)
    New Girl 29 (+1)
    Touch-32

  • tvfreak

    @Rebecca: No worries. There’s supposed to be the conclusion of the RH season finale tomorrow night. Either that or my U-verse guide is lying.

  • Bran

    Fringe-59c(-2)
    Raising Hope-25
    Alcatraz-15 (-1)
    New Girl 30 (+1)
    Touch-34 (+2)

    @tvfreak Next time i think when it gets down to 5 it should be +3, +1, -3, and -1 to move the game along

  • Rebecca

    @tvfreak
    Yeah, TVGuide’s site was just wrong (haven’t checked to see if they corrected it). All the other sites are right, and RH will be on tomorrow. BTW, I can mention this here because Firefly was a Fox show – today on the car radio I heard a local DJ ask, “Which Baldwin brother was on a tv show about space cowboys?” (or something to that effect) – and the lady who answered and won a prize said, “Adam Baldwin” which is the correct Baldwin actor but he’s not one of the Baldwin brothers (like Alec, Stephen, Daniel, etc.). After I unloaded groceries I called the radio station and I must have been the 30th person to tell the poor DJ that Adam Baldwin is NOT one of the famous brothers (they’re all from Long Island while he’s from Chicago and they’re unrelated). He answered pleasantly (we weren’t on the air) and said he had just corrected himself on the air (I hadn’t heard that part, the car was off)…so I told him he could mention to the listeners that Adam Baldwin will be on Castle tonight, sort of a Firefly reunion with Nathan Fillion (and that episode looks to be good/funny).

  • Nick

    Fringe-59
    Raising Hope- 26 (+1)
    Alcatraz-17 (+2)
    New Girl 28 (-2)
    Touch-33 (-1)

  • tvfreak

    FRINGE – 60 (-1)
    RAISING HOPE – 28 (+1)
    ALCATRAZ – 16
    NEW GIRL – 27 (-2)
    TOUCH – 34 (+2)

    Eliminated:

    16. The Finder (4-12, 6:00am)
    15. Glee (4-12, 6:16am)
    14. Breaking In (4-12, 9:40am)
    13. Bob’s Burgers (4-12, 9:40am)
    12. Napoleon Dynamite (4-13, 3:38am)
    11. The Cleveland Show (4-13, 8:39am)
    10. The Simpsons (4-13, 10:49am)
    9. American Dad (4-13, 5:26pm)
    8. Family Guy (4-13, 5:40pm)
    7. Bones (4-14, 1:57pm)
    6. House (4-14, 1:57pm)

    “A good code is like a good song in your head – it’s gotta come out.”
    -John Connor, from Terminator: The Sarah Connor Chronicles episode 1.05 “Queen’s Gambit”

  • James

    FRINGE – 60
    RAISING HOPE – 27 (-1)
    ALCATRAZ – 14 (-2)
    NEW GIRL – 28 (+1)
    TOUCH – 36 (+2)

    @Bran good idea

  • tvfreak

    Whoops, crossed votes. Gotta fix ‘em:

    FRINGE – 58
    RAISING HOPE – 27
    ALCATRAZ – 17
    NEW GIRL – 26
    TOUCH – 35

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