Bubble Watch: The B in 'Apartment 23' Looks Good; 'Touch' Still Likely to Be Renewed; 'GCB' and 'Scandal' Remain on the Bubble

Categories: Bubble Watch

Written By

April 15th, 2012

When it comes to bubble status, like the Renew/Cancel Index we're focusing on the likelihood that a show will be renewed **for next season** (2012-13).  Certain shows are toss-ups where based on the ratings, the renewal decisions could go either way and not be surprising.

Here, “canceled” is used interchangeably with “won’t be renewed for next season” and is not meant to imply a show will be yanked off the schedule in the current season though obviously the two outcomes are not mutually exclusive. The semantics police and lawyers should feel free to break out the handcuffs and plead their cases in the comments. Besides, no matter what anyone at ABC says, reasonable people know with certainty that Pan Am isn't coming back next season.

This Isn't The Renew/Cancel Index

Though the basic methodology is the same (intra-network relative ranking of shows by adults 18-49 ),unlike the Renew/Cancel Index which predicts what would happen if the season ended now, Bubble Watch prognosticates about what will happen by May. The two are still usually closely aligned, and almost certainly very closely aligned towards the end of the season

retentionistas be Damned, Early Signs Good for 'Apartment 23'

The premiere of Don't Trust The B---- in Apartment 23 fared well enough to debut as "likely to be renewed." I'd have probably left it "on the bubble" for another couple of weeks, but it airs after a new Modern Family again next week and then after a Modern Family repeat on April 25. 'Apartment 23' would have to perform noticeably worse on April 25 than Happy Endings did out of Modern Family repeats to catch my eye, and I'll be surprised if that happens. Surprises happen though, so we'll just have to see.

Private Practice, Scandal and GCB on the bubble

For now I've still got Private Practice, Scandal and GCB all on the bubble. Of the three I give Private Practice an edge but that has more to do with its age than its ratings (it has two 2.1 ratings post Daylight Saving Time; hardly any better than GCB and Scandal did last week).

Missing Downgraded

At this point Missing's average is worse than The River's. Neither will be back on ABC next season.

Touch Still Likely to Be Renewed

Though I have little doubt Fox hoped for more out of Touch, if it levels off at around a 2.3 adults 18-49 rating (where it's been likely to be renewed), it's still likely to be renewed. Barely. Let the cries of "No fair! Fox should've aired Alcatraz after American Idol" begin.

Note: only scripted shows that have aired at least one episode this season are in the table below.

 

Show Network Status
Charlie's Angels ABC Canceled
Man Up ABC Canceled
Pan Am ABC Canceled
Work It ABC Canceled
How To Be A Gentleman CBS Canceled
Allen Gregory Fox Canceled
Breaking In Fox Canceled
I Hate My Teenage Daughter Fox Canceled
Terra Nova Fox Canceled
The Firm NBC Canceled
Free Agents NBC Canceled
Prime Suspect NBC Canceled
The Playboy Club NBC Canceled
Body Of Proof ABC Certain Cancellation
Missing ABC Certain Cancellation
The River ABC Certain Cancellation
A Gifted Man CBS Certain Cancellation
Ringer CW Certain Cancellation
Alcatraz Fox Certain Cancellation
Awake NBC Certain Cancellation
Bent NBC Certain Cancellation
Best Friends Forever NBC Certain Cancellation
Harry's Law NBC Certain Cancellation
Unforgettable CBS Likely Cancellation
Hart Of Dixie CW Likely Cancellation
Fringe Fox Likely Cancellation
The Finder Fox Likely Cancellation
Are You There, Chelsea? NBC Likely Cancellation
Cougar Town ABC On The Bubble
GCB ABC On The Bubble
Private Practice ABC On The Bubble
Scandal ABC On The Bubble
CSI: Miami CBS On The Bubble
CSI: NY CBS On The Bubble
Rob CBS On The Bubble
Rules of Engagement CBS On The Bubble
Gossip Girl CW On The Bubble
Nikita CW On The Bubble
The Secret Circle CW On The Bubble
Bob's Burgers Fox On The Bubble
Napoleon Dynamite Fox On The Bubble
Up All Night NBC On The Bubble
Castle ABC Likely Renewal
Don't Trust The B---- in Apartment 23 ABC Likely Renewal
Happy Endings ABC Likely Renewal
Last Man Standing ABC Likely Renewal
Revenge ABC Likely Renewal
Suburgatory ABC Likely Renewal
Two and a Half Men CBS Likely Renewal
90210 CW Likely Renewal
Supernatural CW Likely Renewal
Touch Fox Likely Renewal
30 Rock NBC Likely Renewal
Community NBC Likely Renewal
Law & Order: SVU NBC Likely Renewal
Parenthood NBC Likely Renewal
Parks & Recreation NBC Likely Renewal
Whitney NBC Likely Renewal
Grey's Anatomy ABC Certain Renewal
Modern Family ABC Certain Renewal
Once Upon A Time ABC Certain Renewal
The Middle ABC Certain Renewal
Vampire Diaries CW Certain Renewal
The Office NBC Certain Renewal
2 Broke Girls CBS Renewed
The Big Bang Theory CBS Renewed
Blue Bloods CBS Renewed
Criminal Minds CBS Renewed
CSI CBS Renewed
The Good Wife CBS Renewed
Hawaii Five-0 CBS Renewed
How I Met Your Mother CBS Renewed
The Mentalist CBS Renewed
Mike & Molly CBS Renewed
NCIS CBS Renewed
NCIS: Los Angeles CBS Renewed
Person Of Interest CBS Renewed
American Dad Fox Renewed
Bones Fox Renewed
The Cleveland Show Fox Renewed
Family Guy Fox Renewed
Glee Fox Renewed
New Girl Fox Renewed
Raising Hope Fox Renewed
The Simpsons Fox Renewed
Grimm NBC Renewed
Smash NBC Renewed
Desperate Housewives ABC Final Season
One Tree Hill CW Final Season
House Fox Final Season
Chuck NBC Final Season
 
  • Big Apple 22

    Whitney all the way for renewal!

    Chelsea’s still got a shot at renewal believe it or not thanks to Chelsea Handler a NBCU girl and the low ratings for Bent, BFF, and Thursday comedies.

  • vic

    Hart of Dixie have 0.6 demo rating today. Die The Secret Circle!

  • Richard Steven Hack

    I don’t see Fringe getting renewed just to get to 100 episodes. We all know shows are being renewed to get to 88 episodes for syndication these days. It makes no sense for either Fox or Warner Brothers to scrape for another 13-22 episodes on top of that. Especially when there is no evidence Fringe is even LIKELY to be syndicated given its highly serial nature. If they HAD a syndication deal in the works, it might make sense – but they don’t as far as anyone knows.

    So I discount the TVWise report. Fringe is still doomed. If it isn’t, then Fox clearly has some sort of ratings death wish…

    Otherwise I think the only two adjustments I’d make to the list is moving The Secret Circle off the bubble to likely renewal and Nikita off the bubble to likely cancellation. Gossip Girl probably remains on the bubble given the rumors about it being “safe”.

  • shane

    You know there is something wrong with the world, when Rob might be renewed and Alcatraz/awake might get canceled. I guess TV is getting stupid and unwatchable. Books might be the only good entertainment left.

  • Justin121

    Catch REVENGE tonight at 10/9c.

    Amazing.

  • katelyn

    How is Body of Proof likely cancellation when it is the 2nd most watched show on ABC and its also been #1 for the last three episodes

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “How is Body of Proof likely cancellation when it is the 2nd most watched show on ABC and its also been #1 for the last three episodes”

    2 episodes won’t save it.

    “Most Watched” is meaningless. Its adults 18-49 ratings were still below ABC’s average.

  • Human

    I am going to really miss HOUSE but not in it’s current form. I do not understand why RULES of ENGAGEMENT is on the bubble. But otherwise,all of the really good shows are returning. LOL shows like Mike and Molly,Big Bang,2 Broke Girls,The Middle,and Happy endings have really good writers. The banter between Mike and Carl on M&M is priceless! If Private Practice is cancelled,they need to move Sam and Addison right on over to Grey’s.

  • carol

    I like Fringe, and want to see it continue…also enjoy Unforgettable, and The Finder…..amazing of the shows listed “on the bubble” I watch 0.

  • Tom

    I liked Awake especially the penguin lol

  • Tam

    Ugh, i love hart of dixie :(

  • Ringer Fan

    I have to believe that Ringer will be renewed. The fat woman has not sung yet. Buffy was poorly rated the first year but went on to be one of the best shows on the WB. This is a primetime soap opera. It’s not a Law and Order episode where everything is neatly wrapped up at the end of the show. Ringer has too much competition in a Tuesday timeslot. There’s too much reality shows on. The audience needs something that’s different. The CW is a network that wants to be different. It has a different demographics as compared to ABC, CBS and NBC. The CW still connects. Let’s hope the heads of the CW judges the show on it merits.

  • The Big Toe

    Apartment 23 will be canceled because of name controversy. Work It and The Playboy Club were canceled because of that.

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