Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- April 15, 2012):
| Program | Status | Renew/ Cancel Index |
| Pan Am* | canceled | 0.42 |
| Charlie's Angels * | canceled | 0.48 |
| Work It! * | canceled | 0.61 |
| Cougar Town |  |
0.65 |
| Body Of Proof* |  |
0.66 |
| Man Up * | canceled | 0.66 |
| The River* | |
0.66 |
| Missing | |
0.67 |
| GCB | |
0.80 |
| Scandal | |
0.82 |
| Castle |  |
0.88 |
| Last Man Standing | |
0.91 |
| Private Practice | |
0.94 |
| Happy Endings |  |
1.00 |
| Revenge | |
1.01 |
| Suburgatory | |
1.01 |
| The Middle | |
1.02 |
| Desperate Housewives | final season | 1.03 |
| Don't Trust The B in Apt 23 | |
1.19 |
| Once Upon A Time | |
1.28 |
| Grey's Anatomy | |
1.44 |
| Modern Family | |
2.03 |
-
While the retentionistas are likely howling, a decent ratings start for Don't Trust The B---- In Apt. 23 has it debut as "likely to be renewed", but predictions based on early ratings are subject to change rapidly. Stay tuned.
Following the ratings loser Titanic special, GCB fell to a series low 1.5 adults 18-49 rating on Sunday. The trigger happy would predict it likely to be canceled now, but since it had a string of prior non-dreadful ratings, I'm not so quick to move it from a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation.
Why is Cougar Town just a "toss up" with its dreadful ratings instead of "likely to be canceled" or worse? Because of past (negative) experience, I'm keeping shows in their third seasons (even shortened ones) no lower than a "toss up" because of potential syndication related benefits.
The Renew / Cancel Index above includes results beginning January 2, 2012. How did ABC's shows stack up based on their Fall results? Click here.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.
Notes:
- - certain to be cancelled by May, 2012
-
- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012 - - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012
- - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012
- - certain to be renewed by May, 2012
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.
GCB – 20
CASTLE – 32
REVENGE – 8 (-3)
DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 25 (+2)
THE MIDDLE – 22 (-1)
ONCE UPON A TIME – 26 (+3)
MODERN FAMILY – 23 (+1)
APARTMENT 23 – 12 (-2)
GCB – 19 (-1)
CASTLE – 32
REVENGE – 6 (-2)
DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 26 (+1)
THE MIDDLE – 25 (+3)
ONCE UPON A TIME – 26
MODERN FAMILY – 25 (+2)
APARTMENT 23 – 9 (-3)
GCB – 17 (-2)
CASTLE – 31 (-1)
REVENGE – 8 (+2)
DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 29 (+3)
THE MIDDLE – 25
ONCE UPON A TIME – 26
MODERN FAMILY – 26 (+1)
APARTMENT 23 – 6 (-3)
GCB – 17
CASTLE – 34 (+3)
REVENGE – 5 (-3)
DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 27 (-2)
THE MIDDLE – 25
ONCE UPON A TIME – 28 (+2)
MODERN FAMILY – 27 (+1)
APARTMENT 23 – 5 (-1)
quote from MF [3.20]:
Phil: It happened yesterday. He finished writing an angry letter to the Postmaster General, and he just fell asleep.
Luke: Okay.
Phil: It was very peaceful. Not the letter – that was full of threats, but…
GCB – 16 (-1)
CASTLE – 37 (+3)
REVENGE – 2 (-3)
DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 28 (+1)
THE MIDDLE – 27 (+2)
ONCE UPON A TIME – 28
MODERN FAMILY – 27
APARTMENT 23 – 3 (-2)
GCB – 17 (+1)
CASTLE – 37
REVENGE – Eliminated (-2)
DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 28
THE MIDDLE – 27
ONCE UPON A TIME – 31 (+3)
MODERN FAMILY – 29 (+2)
APARTMENT 23 – Eliminated (-3)
Oops! Forgot a -1
GCB – 17 (+1)
CASTLE – 37
REVENGE – Eliminated (-2)
DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 28
THE MIDDLE – 26 (-1)
ONCE UPON A TIME – 31 (+3)
MODERN FAMILY – 29 (+2)
APARTMENT 23 – Eliminated (-3)
GCB – 14 (-3)
CASTLE – 40 (+3)
DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 29 (+1)
THE MIDDLE – 26 (-1)
ONCE UPON A TIME – 33 (+2)
MODERN FAMILY – 2(-2)
Sorry, typo with Modern Family and The Middle. It’s fixed now.
GCB – 14 (-3)
CASTLE – 40 (+3)
DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 29 (+1)
THE MIDDLE – 25 (-1)
ONCE UPON A TIME – 33 (+2)
MODERN FAMILY – 27 (-2)
Possible 2012-13 Primetime Schedule:
Sunday:
7:00-America’s Funniest Home Videos
8:00-Once Upon a Time
9:00-New Drama
10:00-GCB
Monday:
8:00-Dancing With the Stars (2 Seasons)
10:00-Castle
Tuesday:
8:00-Last Man Standing
8:30-New Comedy
9:00-Dancing With the Stars (2 Seasons)/New Drama
10:00-New Drama
Wednesday:
8:00-The Middle
8:30-Suburgatory
9:00-Modern Family
9:30-Happy Endings/Don’t Trust the B in Apartment 23
10:00-Revenge
Thursday:
8:00-Scandal
9:00-Grey’s Anatomy
10:00-Private Practice (Final Season)
Friday:
8:00-New Comedy
8:30-New Comedy
9:00-Shark Tank/Primetime: What Would You Do?
10:00-20/20
Saturday:
8:00-Movie
10:00-Drama Rerun
I hope OUAT hit 3 tonight
well, I think I’m not playing anymore, because that’s the second time I see Castle gets about 15 points in less than 15 minutes, all consecutive 3 point votes. I think someone is not playing fair, so we’ll never finish the game.
There is definitely cheating. Too much consecutive voting Revenge out of the game and bumping Castle up. tvfreak, its time to end these games.
Jay the difference between don’t trust the b—- in apt. 23 and NYPD Blue is that the first show has a stupid title while NYPD Blue had a strong one and the writing was more talented. NYPD Blue also had much better actors.
Agreed about the cheating thing. Honestly, I don’t understand the whole point in the elimination game. A lot of people on this site are too competitive (it’s the truth, and I’m pretty sure there were a couple of guilty people in the game). I noticed there was someone who seemed to consecutively bump up Revenge and downgrade Castle, too. I think we should just drop the game for good, anyway,
Apt 23 had so many voted yesterday in addition to revenge
also people are only voting in this game and not the rest
Dammit, again my post didn’t go through. What gives?
Anyway…if there are in fact shape-shifting multiple voters out there, it’s almost impossible for us civilians to confirm it, and I’m not even going to bother trying. Let the game continue, I say. At least some of the gridlock on this thread got cleared!
GCB – 11 (-3)
CASTLE – 43 (+3)
DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 27 (-2)
THE MIDDLE – 27 (+2)
ONCE UPON A TIME – 32 (-1)
MODERN FAMILY – 28 (+1)
GCB – 8 (-3)
CASTLE – 42 (-1)
DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES – 26 (-1)
THE MIDDLE – 28 (+1)
ONCE UPON A TIME – 34 (+2)
MODERN FAMILY – 31 (+3)
How about only the people logged on to the site can vote in the game. I would be sad not to vote anymore, but if that is what it takes to stop the cheaters then I am all for it.